Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

New Jersey: Obama 50%, McCain 42%

October 14, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Garden State, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 50 per cent of respondents in New Jersey would support the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 42 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

In a survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University, Obama has a 13-point lead over McCain.

In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried New Jersey’s 15 electoral votes, with 53 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Garden State since George H. Bush in 1988.

U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

New Jersey - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)

 

McCain (R)

Obama (D)

Other / Not sure

Date

(17) Rasmussen Reports 42% 50% 8% Oct. 7
(16) Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. 37% 50% 13% Sept. 29-Oct. 5
(15) SurveyUSA 42% 52% 6% Sept. 27-28
(14) Strategic Vision 39% 48% 13% Sept. 26-28
(13) Rasmussen Reports 42% 55% 3% Sept. 16
(12) Strategic Vision 43% 47% 10% Sept. 14-16
(11) Monmouth University 41% 49% 10% Sept. 11-14
(10) Quinnipiac University 45% 48% 7% Sept. 10-14
(9) Research 2000 41% 50% 9% Sept. 9-11
(8) Marist College 41% 50% 9% Sept. 9-11
(7) Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. 41% 47% 12% Sept. 4-7
(6) Quinnipiac University 41% 51% 8% Aug. 4-10
(5) Rasmussen Reports 42% 52% 6% Aug. 4
(4) Strategic Vision 38% 47% 15% Jul. 11-13 
(3) Rasmussen Reports 39% 44% 16% Jul. 7
(2) Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. 33% 49% 18% Jun. 17-23

(1) Rasmussen Reports

39%

48%

12%

Jun. 4

(17) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(16) Fairleigh Dickinson University - Telephone interviews with 790 likely New Jersey voters, conducted from Sept. 29 to Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(15) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 611 likely New Jersey voters, conducted on Sept. 27 and Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

(14) Strategic Vision - Telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Sept. 26 to Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(13) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Sept. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(12) Strategic Vision - Telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

(11) Monmouth University - Telephone interviews with 589 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Sept. 11 to Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(10) Quinnipiac University - Telephone interviews with 1,187 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(9) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Sept. 9 to Sept. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(8) Marist College Institute for Public Opinion - Telephone interviews with 584 likely voters in New Jersey conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(7) Fairleigh Dickinson University - Telephone interviews with 872 likely voters in New Jersey conducted from Sept. 4 to Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(6) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute - Telephone interviews with 1,468 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Aug. 4 to Aug. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Aug. 4, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(4) Strategic Vision - Telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted from Jul. 11 to Jul. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(3) Rasmussen
Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Jul. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(2) Fairleigh Dickinson University - Telephone interviews with 703 registered voters in New Jersey, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New Jersey, conducted on Jun. 4, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

 

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