Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Cristina Kirchner Tops in Argentina’s Senate Race

October 21, 2005

Credit:António Martins (FOTW Flags Of The World website at flagspot.net)

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Cristina Fernández de Kirchner is still the candidate to beat in Argentina's upper house election, according to a poll by Ipsos. 46 per cent of respondents in the Buenos Aires province would support the current first lady in this Sunday's ballot.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Cristina Fernández de Kirchner is still the candidate to beat in Argentina's upper house election, according to a poll by Ipsos. 46 per cent of respondents in the Buenos Aires province would support the current first lady in this Sunday's ballot.

Hilda González de Duhalde—the wife of former president Eduardo Duhalde—is second with 16 per cent, followed by former presidential candidate Ricardo López Murphy of Recreate (Recrear) with eight per cent, actor Luis Brandoni of the Radical Civic Union (UCR) with six per cent, and Marta Maffei of Alternative for a Republic of Equals (ARI) with 5.3 per cent.

Fernández de Kirchner was first elected to Argentina's Senate in October 2001, representing the Santa Cruz province. The current first lady is seeking a new term in Buenos Aires, home to 36 per cent of the South American nation's eligible voters. Fernández de Kirchner and González de Duhalde are both members of the Peronist Justicialist Party (PJ), but are running on separate tickets. The election is scheduled for Oct. 23.

Néstor Kirchner finished second to former president Carlos Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the Front for Victory (FV).

According to existing regulations for senatorial elections, the winning ticket elects two members to the upper house, with the second-place finisher taking a third seat. The poll suggests Fernández de Kirchner and FV running mate José Pampuro would be joined by González de Duhalde in Argentina's upper house.

Yesterday, the current first lady urged supporters to come out in force, saying, "This is not just another election. We should all be united under one flag." Fernández de Kirchner will not be able to cast a ballot in Buenos Aires, because her name does not appear in the electoral roll.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the Buenos Aires province senatorial election?

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (FV)

46.0%

Hilda González de Duhalde (PJ)

16.0%

Ricardo López Murphy (Recrear)

8.0%

Luis Brandoni (UCR)

6.0%

Martha Maffei (ARI)

5.3%

Source: Ipsos
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews to 1,300 Argentine adults in the Buenos Aires province, conducted on Oct. 17, 2005. No margin of error was provided.