Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Morales Remains Ahead in Bolivian Election

September 27, 2005
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Indigenous leader Evo Morales remains the top presidential contender in Bolivia, according to a poll by Encuestas & Estudios. 26.1 per cent of respondents would support the Movement to Socialism (MAS) candidate in this year's ballot.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Indigenous leader Evo Morales remains the top presidential contender in Bolivia, according to a poll by Encuestas & Estudios. 26.1 per cent of respondents would support the Movement to Socialism (MAS) candidate in this year's ballot.

Former head of state Jorge Quiroga of We Can (Podemos) is second with 22.6 per cent, followed by Samuel Doria Medina of the National Unity Front (FUN) with 12.3 per cent.

The remaining presidential candidates are Michiaki Nagatani of the Nationalist Revolutionary Movement (MNR), Gildo Angulo of the New Republican Force (NFR), Felipe Quispe of the Indigenous Pachakuti Movement (MIP), Néstor García of the Bolivian Workers Social Union (USTB) and Eliseo Rodríguez of the Bolivian Farming Patriotic Front (FREPAB).

In June, a series of demonstrations calling for the nationalization of the hydrocarbon industry and constitutional amendments forced the resignation of interim president Carlos Mesa. Former chief justice of the Supreme Court Eduardo Rodríguez became the country's head of state, promising to hold a presidential election before the end of the year.

In July, Rodríguez signed a decree to schedule a presidential and legislative ballot for Dec. 4, following the passage of the electoral timetable by the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. A constituent assembly and a referendum on the current division of powers would take place in July 2006.

On Sept. 20, Morales suggested easing the regulations for the cultivation of coca leaves, and said his government would be tailored around three ancient principles: "No stealing, no lying and no being lazy." The MAS candidate also vowed to seek a balance in the cabinet, saying, "We will combine intellectual capabilities with social conscience."

Polling Data

If these candidates ran for president, which one would you support?

Evo Morales (MAS)

26.1%

Jorge Quiroga (Podemos)

22.6%

Samuel Doria Medina (FUN)

12.3%

Source: Encuestas & Estudios
Methodology: Interviews to 3,488 adult Bolivians in the nine cities and 161 rural municipalities, conducted from Aug. 20 to Sept. 10, 2005. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.