Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Four Key Players in Bolivian Electoral Race

July 12, 2005
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Samuel Doria Medina is the leading presidential candidate in Bolivia, according to a poll by Universidad Franz Tamayo. 15.2 per cent of respondents in La Paz and El Alto would vote for the National Unity Front (FUN) member in this year's election.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Samuel Doria Medina is the leading presidential candidate in Bolivia, according to a poll by Universidad Franz Tamayo. 15.2 per cent of respondents in La Paz and El Alto would vote for the National Unity Front (FUN) member in this year's election.

Indigenous leader Evo Morales of the Movement to Socialism (MAS) is second with 14.8 per cent, followed by former interim president Carlos Mesa—who is currently banned from contention—with 14.1 per cent, and former head of state Jorge Quiroga with 13.8 per cent.

A series of demonstrations calling for the nationalization of the hydrocarbon industry and constitutional amendments forced Mesa to resign on Jun. 9. Former chief justice of the Supreme Court Eduardo Rodríguez became the country's head of state, promising to hold a presidential election before the end of the year.

On Jul. 6, Rodríguez signed a decree to schedule a presidential and legislative ballot for Dec. 4, following the passage of the electoral timetable by the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. A constituent assembly and a referendum on the current division of powers would take place in July 2006.

Mesa had originally taken over as president after the resignation of Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada in October 2003. The elected head of state was forced to step down after a series of violent protests over a controversial proposal to export natural gas.

Quiroga acted as the South American country's president from August 2001 to August 2002, taking over after Hugo Banzer resigned due to health reasons.

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the presidential election?

Samuel Doria Medina

15.2%

Evo Morales

14.8%

Carlos Mesa

14.1%

Jorge Quiroga

13.8%

Source: Universidad Franz Tamayo
Methodology: Interviews to 690 Bolivian adults in La Paz and El Alto, conducted on Jul. 6 and Jul. 7, 2005. No margin of error was provided.