Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani 28%, F. Thompson 19%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the lead among Republican Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 28 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 presidential primary, down four points since early June.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 19 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 18 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with seven per cent, and former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich also with seven per cent. Support is lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, California congressman Duncan Hunter, Texas congressman Ron Paul, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, and former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore.
On Jun. 18, the Washington Post published Gilmore's open letter to the U.S. president. Gilmore urged for a new strategy in Iraq, and wrote: "I believe the only realistic alternative—the least bad option, if you will—is a limited deliberate drawdown of our military men and women and a redeployment of the forces remaining in the region to areas where they can more efficiently and effectively carry out a clearly defined mission."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Jun. 14 | Jun. 3 | May 13 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 28% | 32% | 29% |
Fred Thompson | 19% | 11% | 12% |
John McCain | 18% | 19% | 23% |
Mitt Romney | 7% | 12% | 8% |
Newt Gingrich | 7% | 8% | 6% |
Mike Huckabee | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Sam Brownback | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Duncan Hunter | 2% | 1% | -- |
Ron Paul | 2% | 1% | -- |
Tommy Thompson | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Chuck Hagel | 1% | -- | -- |
Jim Gilmore | 1% | -- | -- |
Tom Tancredo | -- | 2% | 1% |
George Pataki | n.a. | n.a. | 1% |
Other | -- | 1% | 2% |
None | -- | 3% | 5% |
No opinion | 8% | 6% | 8% |
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 393 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Jun. 11 to Jun. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.