Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Support for McCain in 2008 Plummets in U.S.

June 19, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain trails three prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 44 per cent of respondents would vote for New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in 2008, while 42 per cent would support the Arizona senator.

In addition, McCain trails Illinois senator Barack Obama by two points, and former U.S. vice-president Al Gore by three points. Earlier this year, McCain was ahead of both Rodham Clinton and Gore.

In other contests, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani trails Rodham Clinton by one point, is tied with Obama, and leads Gore by two points. The three Democrats hold the upper hand against actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson.

On Jun. 14, McCain introduced the Dignified Treatment of Wounded Warriors Act, declaring, "This legislation would improve health care benefits to severely wounded soldiers by extending their health care benefits as if the member were on active duty for a period of up to five years. This approach ensures that our most severely wounded have as many health care options as possible, especially for treatment of traumatic brain injury and other long term serious conditions."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Feb. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

44%

41%

44%

John McCain (R)

42%

46%

46%

McCain v. Obama

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Feb. 2007

Barack Obama (D)

43%

42%

43%

John McCain (R)

41%

42%

43%

McCain v. Gore

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Al Gore (D)

44%

41%

John McCain (R)

41%

47%

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Feb. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

45%

40%

43%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

44%

49%

48%

Giuliani v. Obama

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

42%

44%

47%

Barack Obama (D)

42%

41%

40%

Giuliani v. Gore

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

45%

48%

Al Gore (D)

43%

41%

F. Thompson v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

46%

46%

Fred Thompson (R)

39%

39%

F. Thompson v. Obama

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Barack Obama (D)

46%

47%

Fred Thompson (R)

34%

34%

F. Thompson v. Gore

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Al Gore (D)

49%

47%

Fred Thompson (R)

37%

37%

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,711 registered American voters, conducted from Jun. 5 to Jun. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.

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