Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 32%, McCain 18%

February 20, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Support for Rudy Giuliani increased this month among Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 32 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 presidential primary, up five points.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 18 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 10 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent. Support is lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee.

On Feb. 16, Gingrich praised Giuliani, declaring, "He is much stronger than anyone could have predicted six months ago. New York is four times safer than it used to be. It's one of the greatest achievements of government capability in the 20th century."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Republican Presidential Primary Contenders

Feb. 8

Feb. 3

Jan. 25

Rudy Giuliani

32%

27%

29%

John McCain

18%

19%

19%

Newt Gingrich

10%

13%

16%

Mitt Romney

8%

9%

8%

Mike Huckabee

4%

4%

1%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 507 likely Republican voters, conducted from Feb. 5 to Feb. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

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