Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Four-in-Ten Americans Predict War with Iran

January 04, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Some adults in the United States believe their country will become involved militarily with Iran this year, according to a poll by Ipsos-Public Affairs released by the Associated Press. 40 per cent of respondents think it is likely that the U.S. will go to war with Iran.

In addition, 35 per cent of respondents believe the military draft will be reintroduced, 29 per cent think the U.S. will withdraw its troops from Iraq, and 26 per cent expect a military conflict with North Korea.

After being branded as part of an "axis of evil" by U.S. president George W. Bush in January 2002, Iran has contended that its nuclear program aims to produce energy, not weapons.

On Dec. 23, the United Nations (UN) Security Council unanimously voted to impose sanctions against Iran after it failed to stop uranium enrichment. On Jan. 2, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declared, "Let the world know that from the Iranian nation's point of view, this resolution has no validity. I want (the United States) to know that the Iranian nation has humiliated you many times, and it will humiliate you in future."

Kim Jong-il has been the de-facto leader of North Korea since the death of his father, Kim Il Song, in 1994. In October 2006, North Korea—which was also branded as part of an "axis of evil" by Bush—announced it had successfully carried out a test detonation of a nuclear weapon.

In October 2004, Bush issued a statement following calls to reinstate the draft, which read, "America's all-volunteer military is the best in the world, and reinstating the draft would be bad policy."

The coalition effort against Saddam Hussein's regime was launched in March 2003. At least 3,004 American soldiers have died during the military operation, and more than 22,500 troops have been wounded in action.

Polling Data

I'm going to read you a list of items that may or may not happen in the year 2007. For each one, please tell me if it is likely or not likely

Likely

Not likely

The United States will go to war with Iran

40%

58%

The military draft will be reintroduced

35%

64%

The United States will withdraw its troops from Iraq

29%

71%

The United States will go to war with North Korea

26%

72%

Source: Ipsos-Public Affairs / Associated Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 American adults, conducted from Dec. 12 to Dec. 14, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Archive Search

Over 19,300 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.


Advanced Search