Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary at 39%, Obama Second

December 16, 2006

(ARGM) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the lead as the preferred presidential candidate for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 39 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 17 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent, former vice-president Al Gore with 10 per cent, and Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with seven per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joseph Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Indiana senator Evan Bayh, retired general Wesley Clark, and Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.

Earlier this month, Clark discussed his views on the Iraq war, saying, "The question is, are you just going to fold up and leave regardless of the situation on the ground, or can you, through diplomacy, try and craft a more favourable exit? My argument is that you can."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, John Kerry, Al Gore, Wesley Clark, Tom Vilsack, Evan Bayh, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, or Chris Dodd, for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners only)

Hillary Rodham Clinton

39%

Barack Obama

17%

John Edwards

12%

Al Gore

10%

John Kerry

7%

Joseph Biden

2%

Bill Richardson

2%

Evan Bayh

1%

Wesley Clark

1%

Tom Vilsack

1%

None of these

2%

Would not vote

1%

No opinion

4%

Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,005 American adults, conducted from Dec. 7 to Dec. 11, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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