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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Kadima Gains, But Likud Would Win in Israel
- The Likud party maintains a large advantage in Israel, according to a poll by Teleseker published in Maariv. The results suggest Likud, led by former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, would secure 29 seats in the next election to the Knesset.
The governing Kadima party of prime minister Ehud Olmert would finish second with 18 mandates, followed by Israel Our Home under Avigdor Lieberman with 14 seats, the Labour party of Amir Peretz with 12 mandates, and the International Organization of Torah-observant Sephardic Jews (Shas) with 10 seats.
In March, Israeli voters renewed the Knesset. Kadima, founded by former prime minister Ariel Sharon and led by Olmert, secured 29 seats. Labour, the Retired People's Party (Gil) and Shas joined Kadima in a coalition. Last month, the Israeli cabinet approved the addition of Israel Our Home to the government. Olmert's coalition now has the support of 78 of the Knesset's 120 members.
Yesterday, Netanyahu was questioned by the International Fraud Investigation Unit over alleged wrongdoing in connection with public opinion polls. The Likud leader issued a statement, claiming he paid for the surveys—conducted on his behalf by former Education Ministry employee Yaakov Katz—out of his own pocket.
Polling Data
Prospective results of a Knesset election
(Results presented in seats)
Nov. 23 | Nov. 9 | |
Likud (Consolidation) | 29 | 29 |
Kadima (Forward) | 18 | 16 |
Israel Our Home (Yisrael Beiteinu) | 14 | 14 |
Labour | 12 | 15 |
International Organization of | 10 | 10 |
National Union (Ikhud) and | 9 | 9 |
Together (Yachad) | 7 | 6 |
Gil (Retired People's Party) | 6 | 5 |
Yahadut Hatorah (United Torah Judaism) | 5 | 5 |
Arab parties | 10 | 11 |
Source: Teleseker / Maariv
Methodology: Interviews with 450 Israeli adults, conducted on Nov. 9, 2006. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.