Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Noboa Edging Correa in Ecuador’s Run-Off

October 28, 2006

- Álvaro Noboa is the top presidential contender in Ecuador, according to a poll by Cedatos/Gallup. 58 per cent of decided voters would back the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) candidate in next month's second round. Former economy minister Rafael Correa of Alliance Country (AP) would finish second with 42 per cent.

In the first round, held on Oct. 15, Noboa garnered 26.8 per cent of the vote, while Correa got 22.8 per cent. Since no contender received more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots, a run-off was scheduled for Nov. 26.

Last year, public protests against the elected government intensified after the Supreme Court threw out pending charges of corruption and mishandling of funds against former presidents Abdalá Bucaram and Gustavo Noboa. In mid-April, then-president Lucio Gutiérrez instituted a 24-hour state of emergency. The National Congress later voted to oust the head of state and replace him with vice-president Alfredo Palacio.

Yesterday, former president Gutiérrez said his Patriotic Society Party (PSP) has not decided which of the two politicians to support, declaring, "Our condition would be to ask either of them to say if Palacio's government is real, because we seek an Ecuador where there are no more coups, where vice-presidents cannot think about betraying their president."

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the second round of the presidential election?
(Valid votes)

Álvaro Noboa (PRIAN)

58%

Rafael Correa (AC)

42%

Source: Cedatos/Gallup
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 4,464 Ecuadorian adults, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2006. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.

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