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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Correa, Roldós Will Reach Run-Off in Ecuador
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- The Ecuadorian presidential election will be decided in the second round, according to a poll by Market. 26.4 per cent of respondents would vote for former economy minister Rafael Correa of Alliance Country (AP), while 19.5 per cent would support former vice-president León Roldós of the Ethical and Democratic Network (RED).
Congress vice-president Cynthia Viteri of the Social Christian Party (PSC) is third with 11.4 per cent, followed by Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) with 10.1 per cent.
Last year, public protests against the elected government intensified after the Supreme Court threw out pending charges of corruption and mishandling of funds against former presidents Abdalá Bucaram and Gustavo Noboa. In mid-April, then-president Lucio Gutiérrez instituted a 24-hour state of emergency. The National Congress later voted to oust the head of state and replace him with vice-president Alfredo Palacio.
Palacio—a cardiologist—had previously acted as Ecuador's minister of health and is not directly affiliated with any political party.
On Sept. 25, Correa, Roldós and Viteri took part in a televised debate. Viteri vowed to renegotiate the free trade agreement with the United States, Roldós promised "no surprises" in the budget, and Correa said he would maintain "existing subsidies."
The presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 15. If no candidate garners more than 50 per cent of all cast ballots, a run-off will take place on Nov. 26.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for among these prospective presidential candidates?
Sept. 22 | Sept. 3 | Aug. 2006 | |
Rafael Correa (AP) | 26.4% | 14% | 12% |
León Roldós (RED) | 19.5% | 19% | 27% |
Cynthia Viteri (PSC) | 11.4% | 15% | 15% |
Álvaro Noboa (PRIAN) | 10.1% | 10% | 12% |
Source: Market
Methodology: Interviews with 1,280 Ecuadorian adults, conducted with a paper ballot on Sept. 22, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.