Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Roldós Leads, Noboa Second in Ecuador

June 20, 2006
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Former vice-president León Roldós remains the most popular contender in Ecuador's presidential race, according to a poll by Mercanalis. 26 per cent of respondents in the South American country would vote for the Ethical and Democratic Network (RED) candidate in this year's election.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Former vice-president León Roldós remains the most popular contender in Ecuador's presidential race, according to a poll by Mercanalis. 26 per cent of respondents in the South American country would vote for the Ethical and Democratic Network (RED) candidate in this year's election.

Álvaro Noboa of the Institutional Renewal Party of National Action (PRIAN) is second with 20 per cent, followed by former economy minister Rafael Correa of Alliance Country (AP) with 17 per cent, and Congress vice-president Cynthia Viteri of the Social Christian Party (PSC) with 14 per cent.

Last year, public protests against the elected government intensified after the Supreme Court threw out pending charges of corruption and mishandling of funds against former presidents Abdalá Bucaram and Gustavo Noboa. In mid-April, then-president Lucio Gutiérrez instituted a 24-hour state of emergency. The National Congress later voted to oust the head of state and replace him with vice-president Alfredo Palacio.

Palacio—a cardiologist—had previously acted as Ecuador's minister of health and is not directly affiliated with any political party.

Earlier this month during a visit to Japan, Roldós expressed dismay at the current political situation in Latin America, saying, "I don't think we should be in a position to choose between (Venezuelan president Hugo) Chávez and (U.S. president George W.) Bush."

The presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 15. All contenders must be registered by Jul. 15.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for among these prospective presidential candidates?

León Roldós (RED)

26%

Álvaro Noboa (PRIAN)

20%

Rafael Correa (AP)

17%

Cynthia Viteri (PSC)

14%

Source: Mercanalis
Methodology: Interviews with 1,600 Ecuadorian adults in four provinces, conducted from May 25 to May 31, 2006. Margin of error is 5 per cent.