Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Tories Drop Slightly, Liberals Up in Canada

May 09, 2006

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The governing Conservative party is still the most popular political organization in Canada, according to a poll by The Strategic Counsel released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories in the next federal election.

The Liberal party is second with 31 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 14 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent, and the Green party with nine per cent. Support for the Tories dropped by four points in a month, while backing for both the Liberals and the Greens increased by two points.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons on Jan. 23. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper, who was sworn in on Feb. 6, leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

On May 4, the Conservatives introduced two bills as part of their crackdown on crime. One seeks to increase the mandatory minimum sentences for gun crimes, and the other would eliminate conditional sentences—including house arrest—for serious, violent and sex-related offences.

Justice minister Vic Toews explained the government's rationale, saying, "We wanted to focus on specific types of crimes, these are guns and gangs. When it comes to crime, it is the new government's firm commitment to finally respond to the concerns of police and, most importantly, of ordinary Canadians."

Polling Data

How would you vote if an election were held today?

May 2006

Apr. 2006

Conservative

35%

39%

Liberal

31%

29%

New Democratic Party

14%

14%

Bloc Québécois

10%

11%

Green

9%

7%

Source: The Strategic Counsel / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 Canadian adults, conducted from May 1 to May 3, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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