Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Ten-Point Lead for Conservatives in Canada

April 19, 2006

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The governing Conservative party maintains a high level of voter support in Canada, according to a poll by The Strategic Counsel released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 39 per cent of respondents would support the Tories in the next federal election.

The Liberal party is second with 29 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 14 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 11 per cent, and the Green party with seven per cent.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons on Jan. 23. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper, who was sworn in on Feb. 6, leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

In February, Harper faced some criticism after David Emerson, who was elected as the Liberal candidate in the Vancouver Kingsway riding, left the party and joined the Conservative government as international trade minister. For 18 months, Emerson served as industry minister during the administration of Liberal prime minister Paul Martin.

Yesterday, Harper dismissed the protests over Emerson's defection, declaring, "The same ten people every time. You know, it's kind of getting old hat, isn't it? (...) I think (Emerson's) contribution is getting more and more appreciated in the greater Vancouver area. I don't think a handful of people can say that they represent the entire population."

Polling Data

How would you vote if an election were held today?

Conservative

39%

Liberal

29%

New Democratic Party

14%

Bloc Québécois

11%

Green

7%

Source: The Strategic Counsel / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 Canadian adults, conducted from Apr. 6 to Apr. 9, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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