February 10, 2006

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Support for Lourdes Flores Nano increased this month in Peru, according to a poll by IDICE. 27.2 per cent of respondents would support the Popular Christian Party (PPC) member in this year's presidential election.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Support for Lourdes Flores Nano increased this month in Peru, according to a poll by IDICE. 27.2 per cent of respondents would support the Popular Christian Party (PPC) member in this year's presidential election.

Former president Alan García of the American Revolutionary People's Alliance (APRA) is second with 20.8 per cent, followed by Ollanta Humala of the Peruvian Nationalist Party (PNP) with 18.4 per cent, Martha Chávez of New Majority (NM) with 8.1 per cent, and former head of state Valentín Paniagua of Popular Action (AP) with 6.1 per cent.

On Jan. 28, APRA secretary-general Jorge del Castillo claimed that people close to Flores Nano had offered money to National Justice (JN) presidential candidate Jaime Salinas to drop out of the race. Salinas, who has not polled above eight per cent during the course of the campaign, denied the allegations. Earlier this month, del Castillo acknowledged that he cannot prove that a voice on an audio tape—which was the basis of his claims—is really that of Salinas.

Current president Alejandro Toledo won the June 2001 election as the Possible Peru (PP) nominee over the APRA's García. Toledo cannot seek a consecutive term in office. The presidential and congressional elections are scheduled for Apr. 9.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the presidential election?

	Feb. 2006	Dec. 2005
Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC)	27.2%	21.2%
Alan García (APRA)	20.8%	19.8%
Ollanta Humala (PNP)	18.4%	21.7%
Martha Chávez (NM)	8.1%	5.2%
Valentín Paniagua (AP)	6.1%	16.7%

Source: Instituto de Desarrollo e Investigación de Ciencias Económicas (IDICE)
Methodology: Interviews with 4,850 Peruvian adults, conducted from Feb. 3 to Feb. 5, 2006. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.