Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Humala Falls, Flores Nano Still Leader in Peru

February 06, 2006
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Lourdes Flores Nano has regained the top spot in Peru's presidential race, according to a poll by Apoyo published in El Comercio. 30 per cent of respondents would vote for the Popular Christian Party (PPC) candidate in this year's election.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Lourdes Flores Nano has regained the top spot in Peru's presidential race, according to a poll by Apoyo published in El Comercio. 30 per cent of respondents would vote for the Popular Christian Party (PPC) candidate in this year's election.

Ollanta Humala of the Peruvian Nationalist Party (PNP) is second with 22 per cent, followed by former president Alan García of the American Revolutionary People's Alliance (APRA) with 13 per cent, and former head of state Valentín Paniagua of Popular Action (AP) with eight per cent. Support is lower for Martha Chávez of New Majority (NM) and Jaime Salinas of National Justice (JN).

Last month, several inhabitants of the Madre Mia municipality claimed that Humala committed human rights abuses when he acted as the area's patrol chief in the early 1990s. Several Peruvian media outlets have reproduced the statements of different persons, who claim Humala was known as "Captain Carlos" at the time. The PNP candidate has rejected the claims, saying they are part of a campaign to affect his chances of winning the election.

Current president Alejandro Toledo won the June 2001 election as the Possible Peru (PP) nominee over the APRA's García. Toledo cannot seek a consecutive term in office. The presidential and congressional elections are scheduled for Apr. 6.

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the next presidential election?

Jan. 27

Jan. 13

Dec. 2005

Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC)

30%

25%

25%

Ollanta Humala (ME)

22%

28%

22%

Alan García (APRA)

13%

15%

16%

Valentín Paniagua (AP)

8%

10%

14%

Martha Chávez (SC)

4%

2%

--

Jaime Salinas (JN)

1%

2%

4%

Source: Apoyo / El Comercio
Methodology: Interviews with 1,627 Peruvian adults in 30 cities, conducted from Jan. 25 to Jan. 27, 2006. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.