(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Andrés Manuel L³pez Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) is holding on to the lead in Mexico, according to a poll by Reforma. 36 per cent of respondents would support the former Mexico City mayor in next weekend’s presidential election.
(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Andrés Manuel L³pez Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) is holding on to the lead in Mexico, according to a poll by Reforma. 36 per cent of respondents would support the former Mexico City mayor in next weekend’s presidential election.
Former energy minister Felipe Calder³n of the governing National Action Party (PAN) is second with 34 per cent, followed by former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with 25 per cent, Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) with three per cent, and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) with one per cent.
Support for both L³pez Obrador and Calder³n fell by one point since mid-June, while backing for Madrazo increased by two points.
The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Yesterday, Calder³n urged PRI supporters to back him, saying, “I know there are many PRI voters who would not allow someone who represents a danger to Mexico to become president.”
In the race for the Chamber of Deputies, the PAN is first with 36 per cent, followed by the leftist Alliance for the Common Good with 30 per cent, and the Alliance for Mexico—featuring the PRI and the Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM)—with 28 per cent.
The Mexican presidential and legislative election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Polling Data
If the presidential election took place today, who would you vote for?
(Likely Voters)
Jun. 19 | Jun. 11 | May 21 | |
Andrés Manuel L³pez Obrador (PRD) | 36% | 37% | 35% |
Felipe Calder³n (PAN) | 34% | 35% | 39% |
Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 25% | 23% | 22% |
Patricia Mercado (PASC) | 3% | 3% | 2.3% |
Roberto Campa (PNA) | 1% | 1% | 1.2% |
If the election to the federal Chamber of Deputies took place today, what party would you vote for?
Jun. 19 | Jun. 11 | May 21 | |
National Action Party (PAN) | 36% | 34% | 39% |
Alliance for the Common Good | 30% | 31% | 29% |
Alliance for Mexico | 28% | 29% | 27% |
New Alliance Party (PNA) | 4% | 4% | 2.2% |
Social-Democratic and | 2% | 2% | 2.7% |
Source: Reforma
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,100 likely Mexican voters, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 19, 2006. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.
