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(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Robert Menendez is holding on to the lead in New Jersey’s election to the United States Senate, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 38 per cent of respondents in the Garden State would support the former Democratic U.S. congressman, while 36 per cent would vote for Republican state senator Tom Kean Jr.
(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Robert Menendez is holding on to the lead in New Jersey’s election to the United States Senate, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 38 per cent of respondents in the Garden State would support the former Democratic U.S. congressman, while 36 per cent would vote for Republican state senator Tom Kean Jr.
A study by the Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University published in the Star-Ledger gives Menendez a four-point lead over Kean.
In the November 2005 gubernatorial election, Jon Corzine—a Democrat—defeated Republican candidate Doug Forrester with 54 per cent of all cast ballots. Corzine had served as New Jersey’s junior senator since 2001. Menendez will serve out the remaining one year of Corzine’s Senate term.
Last week, the Menendez campaign released a television advertisement where the Democrat highlights his opposition to the Iraq war. In the spot, Menendez declares, “This administration and its allies have taken the wrong position time after time.”
Kean spokeswoman Jill Hazelbaker said the Republican candidate “has said that there have been horrendous mistakes made in the conduct of the war, but (…) believes that we should not cut and run.”
The election is scheduled for Nov. 7.
Polling Data
a) If the election for United States senator was held today, whom would you support Robert Mendenez, the Democrat or Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican?
Jun. 2006 | May 2006 | Apr. 2006 | |
Robert Menendez (D) | 38% | 35% | 32% |
Tom Kean Jr. (R) | 36% | 35% | 34% |
Undecided | 26% | 30% | 34% |
Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely New Jersey voters, conducted from Jun. 16 to Jun. 18, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
b) If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote? Robert Menendez, the Democrat, Tom Kean Jr., the Republican, or some other candidate for Senate?
Jun. 2006 | Mar. 2006 | |
Robert Menendez (D) | 42% | 40% |
Tom Kean Jr. (R) | 38% | 35% |
Other | 1% | 2% |
Would not vote | 2% | 3% |
Undecided | 17% | 20% |
Source: Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University / The Star-Ledger
Methodology: Interviews to 669 registered New Jersey voters, conducted from Jun. 4 to Jun. 19, 2006. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
