(11/07/06) - Pennsylvania U.S. Senate: Casey 52%, Santorum 40%
- Democrat Bob Casey could become one of Pennsylvania’s representatives to the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Strategic Vision. 52 per cent of respondents in the Keystone State would vote for Casey, while 40 per cent would support Republican incumbent Rick Santorum.
- Democrat Bob Casey could become one of Pennsylvania’s representatives to the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Strategic Vision. 52 per cent of respondents in the Keystone State would vote for Casey, while 40 per cent would support Republican incumbent Rick Santorum.
An early November survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. gave Casey a 13-point lead over Santorum. Green Party candidate Carl Romanelli is also contending.
Casey has been Pennsylvania’s state treasurer since January 2005, and previously served as the state auditor general for eight years. Casey is the son of former Pennsylvania governor Robert P. Casey, and lost the 2002 Democratic primary to current governor Ed Rendell.
Santorum was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1994, and earned a second term in 2000, defeating Democrat Ron Klink with 53 per cent of all cast ballots. He had previously served for two consecutive terms in the House of Representatives.
On May 16, Casey defeated university professor Chuck Pennacchio and attorney Alan Sandals in the Democratic primary with 85 per cent of all cast ballots.
The election will take place today. The Democrats have not elected a Pennsylvanian to a full term in the U.S. Senate since 1962.
Polling Data
Election 2006 – Pennsylvania U.S. Senate
Incumbent: Rick Santorum (R)
Challengers: Bob Casey (D), Carl Romanelli (G)
| Sant. (R) | Cas. (D) | Date | Methodology | MofE |
Strategic Vision | 40% | 52% | Nov. 2-4 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 39% | 52% | Oct. 31-Nov. 1 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Muhlenberg College | 43% | 51% | Oct. 29-Nov. 1 | Phone, 507 LV | 4.3 |
Zogby / Reuters | 40% | 48% | Oct. 24-31 | Phone, 600 LV | 4.0 |
Franklin and Marshall | 39% | 56% | Oct. 25-29 | Phone, 355 LV | 3.9 |
Quinnipiac University | 42% | 52% | Oct. 23-29 | Phone, 933 LV | 3.2 |
Strategic Vision | 39% | 49% | Oct. 28-30 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 55% | Oct. 28 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
West Chester University | 39% | 50% | Oct. 22-25 | Phone, 601 LV | 3.7 |
Temple University | 38% | 54% | Oct. 16-25 | Phone, 698 LV | 3.8 |
Strategic Vision | 42% | 49% | Oct. 20-23 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 39% | 51% | Oct. 18-21 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Zogby Interactive | 44% | 52% | Oct. 10-16 | Online, 760 LV | 3.6 |
Rasmussen Reports | 41% | 54% | Oct. 16 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 50% | Oct. 10 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Muhlenberg College | 41% | 46% | Oct. 3-8 | Phone, 511 LV | 4.3 |
Zobgy / Reuters | 36% | 48% | Sept. 25-Oct. 2 | Phone, 602 LV | 4.5 |
Mason-Dixon | 40% | 49% | Sept. 22-26 | Phone, 625 RV | 4.0 |
Zogby Interactive | 42% | 48% | Sept. 19-25 | Online, 893 LV | 3.3 |
Strategic Vision | 41% | 50% | Sept. 22-24 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Quinnipiac University | 39% | 51% | Sept. 19-24 | Phone, 933 LV | 3.2 |
Rasmussen Reports | 39% | 49% | Sept. 20 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Temple University | 39% | 49% | Sept. 14-20 | Phone, 666 LV | 3.8 |
Franklin and Marshall | 38% | 45% | Sept. 13-18 | Phone, 604 RV | 3.3 |
Zogby Interactive | 47% | 43% | Aug. 29-Sept. 5 | Online, 893 LV | 3.3 |
Gallup | 38% | 56% | Aug. 23-27 | Phone, 600 LV | 4.1 |
Zogby Interactive | 42% | 51% | Aug. 15-21 | Online, 671 LV | 3.8 |
Rasmussen Reports | 40% | 48% | Aug. 22 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Franklin and Marshall | 39% | 44% | Aug. 16-21 | Phone, 551 RV | 4.0 |
Strategic Vision | 41% | 47% | Aug. 11-13 | Phone, 1200 LV | 3.0 |
Quinnipiac University | 42% | 48% | Aug. 8-13 | Phone, 1,011 LV | 3.1 |
Muhlenberg College | 39% | 45% | Jul. 31-Aug. 3 | Phone, 550 RV | 4.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 39% | 50% | Jul. 26 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Zogby Interactive | 40% | 49% | Jul. 11-19 | Online, 950 LV | 3.2 |
Strategic Vision | 40% | 50% | Jul. 14-16 | Phone, 1,200 LV | 3.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 52% | Jun. 19 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Zogby Interactive | 41% | 48% | Jun. 13-19 | Online, 769 LV | 3.6 |
LV: Likely voters
RV: Registered voters
Ad: Adults
MofE: Margin of error
Previous polls from this race