- Jon Tester is leading in the race for one of Montana’s seats in the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Gallup. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic challenger, while 41 per cent would support Republican incumbent Conrad Burns.
- Jon Tester is leading in the race for one of Montana’s seats in the United States Senate, according to the latest poll by Gallup. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic challenger, while 41 per cent would support Republican incumbent Conrad Burns.
An early November survey by Rasmussen Reports gave Tester a two-point edge over Burns.
Burns was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1988, and earned new terms in 1994 and 2000. In the last election, Burns defeated Democratic candidate Brian Schweitzer with 51 per cent of all cast ballots. Schweitzer went on to win the Treasure State’s gubernatorial race in November 2002.
Tester is an organic grain farmer. He was elected to the Montana State Senate in 1998, and became its president in 2005.
The Republican and Democratic primaries took place on Jun. 6. Burns defeated Senate minority leader Bob Keenan with 72 per cent of the vote, while Tester garnered 61 per cent of all cast ballots in a contest against state auditor John Morrison.
The election to the U.S. Senate will take place today.
Polling Data
Election 2006 – Montana U.S. Senate
Incumbent: Conrad Burns (R)
Challenger: Jon Tester (D)
Burns (R) | Tester (D) | Date | Methodology | MofE | |
Gallup | 41% | 50% | Nov. 1-4 | Phone, 874 LV | 4.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 50% | Nov. 4 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Mason-Dixon | 47% | 47% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 50% | Nov. 1 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Zogby / Reuters | 46% | 47% | Oct. 24-31 | Phone, 600 LV | 4.0 |
Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 51% | Oct. 26 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Harstad Strategic Research | 42% | 48% | Oct. 24-26 | Phone, 662 LV | 4.3 |
Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 48% | Oct. 18 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 49% | Oct. 11 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Zobgy / Reuters | 42% | 46% | Sept. 25-Oct. 2 | Phone, 607 LV | 4.5 |
Mason-Dixon | 40% | 47% | Sept. 26-28 | Phone, 625 LV | 4.0 |
Rasmussen | 43% | 50% | Sept. 20 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Rasmussen | 43% | 52% | Sept. 13 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
| Gallup | 45% | 48% | Aug. 23-27 | Phone, 641 LV | 4.1 |
Rasmussen | 47% | 47% | Aug. 8 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
Rasmussen | 43% | 50% | Jul. 6 | Phone, 500 LV | 4.5 |
LV: Likely voters
RV: Registered voters
Ad: Adults
MofE: Margin of error
