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(01/24/07) -

Fern¡ndez de Kirchner is First Choice in Argentina

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Buenos Aires senator Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner is the top-rated presidential contender in Argentina, according to a poll by Julio Aurelio. 36.5 per cent of respondents would support the current first lady among a group of four prospective candidates.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Buenos Aires senator Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner is the top-rated presidential contender in Argentina, according to a poll by Julio Aurelio. 36.5 per cent of respondents would support the current first lady among a group of four prospective candidates.

Former economy minister Roberto Lavagna is second with 20.7 per cent, followed by Mauricio Macri of Commitment for Change (CC) with 15.2 per cent, and Elisa Carri³ of the Alliance Affirmation for an Egalitarian Republic (ARI) with 12.1 per cent.

Néstor Kirchner finished second to former president Carlos Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the Front for Victory (FV).

According to several media reports in Argentina, Kirchner is planning to create a new political party once his term in over, if he declines from pursuing re-election and supports his wife’s candidacy instead. In late December, Kirchner declared: “The times of deepening (Argentina’s) evolution, of deepening change are ahead, and we all have to prove we are capable of building the political space of change in Argentina so we can construct a country that encompasses us all.”

Argentina has held five presidential elections since the demise of an eight-year military dictatorship in 1982. In the event no candidate garners more than 45 per cent of the vote—or reaches a percentage between 40 and 45 per cent with a 10 per cent lead over the closest competitor—a run-off between the two leading candidates must take place.

The next presidential election in Argentina is scheduled for Oct. 28.

Polling Data

Which of these four candidates would you support in the presidential election?

Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner

36.5%

Roberto Lavagna

20.7%

Mauricio Macri

15.2%

Elisa Carri³

12.1%

None

10.4%

Undecided

5.1%

Source: Julio Aurelio
Methodology: Interviews with 3,203 Argentine adults, conducted from Jan. 12 to Jan. 14, 2006. No margin of error was provided.