(11/05/12) -

Romney Gains, But Still Trails Obama in Pennsylvania

Democrat Bob Casey Jr. would defeat Republican challenger Tom Smith in the U.S. Senate race.

Mitt Romney has gained momentum in Pennsylvania, but Barack Obama remains ahead of his main challenger in the final days of the American presidential campaign, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of 507 likely voters in the Keystone State, 51 per cent of decided voters and leaners (-1 since October) say they would support the incumbent Democrat in tomorrow’s United States presidential election, while 47 per cent (+5) would cast a ballot for the Republican nominee.

Obama keeps a six-point lead over Romney among male voters (52% to 46%), and remains the first choice for respondents aged 18-to34 (60% to 35%).

The two candidates are tied among respondents aged 35-to-54, while Romney has an eight-point edge over Obama among those aged 55 and over (54% to 46%).

In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Bob Casey Jr. heads to election day with the support of 53 per cent of decided voters and leaners, while Republican contender Tom Smith is seven points behind (46%). Casey is popular among younger voters (62% to 34%), and does not trail Smith in any of the five demographics reviewed.

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)

CONTACT:

Mario Canseco, Vice President, Angus Reid Public Opinion
+877 730 3570
mario.canseco@angus-reid.com

Methodology: From November 2 to November 4, 2012, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 507 randomly selected Pennsylvania likely voters who are Springboard America panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 4.2%. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current age and gender data to ensure samples representative of the entire adult population of Pennsylvania. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.