(10/07/10) -

Brown Seems Poised to Replace Schwarzenegger in California

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown holds the upper hand in the Golden State, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

Barbara Boxer keeps comfortable edge over Carly Fiorina in the U.S. Senate contest.

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown holds the upper hand in the Golden State, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of 501 registered voters in California, 53 per cent of decided voters and leaners would support Brown in next month’s election. Republican contender Meg Whitman is second with 41 per cent, followed by Laura Wells of the Green Party with two per cent, and Dale Ogden of the Libertarian Party with one per cent.

Brown is clearly ahead of Whitman among male voters (56% to 37%) and respondents aged 18 to 34 (55% to 38%), but the race tightens among female voters (50% to 46%) and respondents aged 55 and over (48% to 45%).

In the U.S. Senate race, 55 per cent of decided voters and leaners would support incumbent Barbara Boxer of the Democratic Party, while two-in-five (39%) would back Republican challenger Carly Fiorina. Two per cent of respondents would support Independent Edward Noonan, and one per cent would vote for Green Party candidate Duane Roberts.

Boxer is particularly popular among respondents aged 18 to 34 (64%), while Fiorina gets her best showing among voters aged 55 and over (44%).

The gubernatorial and U.S, Senate elections are scheduled for Nov. 2.

Full Report, Detailed Tables and Methodology (PDF)

CONTACT:

Mario Canseco, Vice President, Communications & Media Relations
+877 730 3570
mario.canseco@angus-reid.com

Methodology: From October 4 to October 6, 2010, Angus Reid Public Opinion conducted an online survey among 501 American registered voters in the State of California who are Springboard America panelists. The margin of error—which measures sampling variability—is +/- 4.5%. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a representative sample. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.