(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Dilma Rousseff holds a significant advantage over fellow presidential candidate Jose Serra just months before an election takes place in Brazil, according to a poll by Ibope. 43 per cent of respondents would vote for Rousseff of the ruling Workers’ Party (PT) in the October ballot, up three points since June.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Dilma Rousseff holds a significant advantage over fellow presidential candidate Jose Serra just months before an election takes place in Brazil, according to a poll by Ibope. 43 per cent of respondents would vote for Rousseff of the ruling Workers’ Party (PT) in the October ballot, up three points since June.
Jose Serra of the Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) is second with 32 per cent, down three points. Marina Silva of the Green Party (PV) is third with seven per cent.
In a run-off scenario, Rousseff is ahead of Serra by 10 points.
Luis Inacio Lula da Silva—a member of the PT—won the October 2002 presidential election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Serra. In October 2006, he earned a new four-year term, defeating PSDB candidate Geraldo Alckmin with 60.8 per cent of the vote in the second round.
Lula has publicly endorsed Rousseff as his preferred successor. In February, the PT officially selected Rousseff as the party’s presidential candidate.
In March, Rousseff stepped down as Lula’s chief of staff and Serra resigned as governor of the state of Sao Paulo in order to launch their presidential bids.
Lawmaker Indio da Costa of the Democrats (DEM/RJ) is Serra’s running-mate. Rousseff’s vice-presidential candidate is Michel Temer, leader of the lower house of Congress and a member of the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB).
On Aug. 6, Rousseff and Serra participated in a televised debate. Serra vowed to invest more in health and infrastructure, declaring, "Travelling on federal highways in Brazil today is a public danger."
Lula is ineligible for a third term in office. The first round of Brazil’s next presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 3.
Polling Data
Which of these candidates would you vote for in the next presidential election?
|
|
Aug. 2010
|
Jun. 2010
|
May 2010
|
|
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
|
43%
|
40%
|
37%
|
|
Jose Serra (PSDB)
|
32%
|
35%
|
37%
|
|
Marina Silva (PV)
|
8%
|
9%
|
9%
|
|
None / Blank ballot
|
7%
|
6%
|
9%
|
|
Not sure / Undecided
|
9%
|
10%
|
8%
|
Run-off scenario
|
|
Aug. 2010
|
Jun. 2010
|
May 2010
|
|
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
|
48%
|
45%
|
42%
|
|
Jose Serra (PSDB)
|
38%
|
38%
|
42%
|
|
Neither / Blank / Undecided
|
14%
|
17%
|
16%
|
Source: Ibope
Methodology: Interviews with 2,506 Brazilian adults, conducted from Aug. 12 to Aug. 15, 2010. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.
