(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Dilma Rousseff, the Brazilian presidential candidate favoured by incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, has gained momentum at the start of the year, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. 27.8 per cent of respondents would vote for Rousseff of the ruling Worker’s Party (PT), up 6.1 points since November.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Dilma Rousseff, the Brazilian presidential candidate favoured by incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, has gained momentum at the start of the year, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. 27.8 per cent of respondents would vote for Rousseff of the ruling Worker’s Party (PT), up 6.1 points since November.
Sao Paulo governor Jose Serra of the conservative Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) remains in first place with 33.2 per cent. Support is lower for Ciro Gomes of the Socialist People’s Party (PSB), and Marina Silva of the Green Party (PV).
Lula—a member of the PT—won the October 2002 presidential election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Serra. In October 2006, he earned a new four-year term, defeating PSDB candidate Geraldo Alckmin with 60.8 per cent of the vote in the second round.
Lula has publicly endorsed Rousseff as his preferred successor. The PT is expected to officially nominate its candidate at a party convention this month.
On Feb. 1, Rousseff admitted she would accept the candidacy if nominated, saying, "I would like very much to be nominated to succeed Lula da Silva."
Lula is ineligible for a third term in office. The first round of Brazil’s next presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 3.
Polling Data
Which of these candidates would you vote for in the next presidential election?
|
|
Jan. 2010 |
Nov. 2009 |
Sept. 2009 |
|
Jose Serra (PSDB) |
33.2% |
31.8% |
39.5% |
|
Dilma Rousseff (PT) |
27.8% |
21.7% |
19.0% |
|
Ciro Gomes (PSB) |
11.9% |
17.5% |
n.a. |
|
Marina Silva (PV) |
6.8% |
5.9% |
4.8% |
|
None / Blank ballot |
10.5% |
11.1% |
14.4% |
|
Not sure / Undecided |
9.9% |
12.1% |
12.8% |
|
Heloisa Helena (PSOL) |
n.a. |
n.a. |
9.7% |
Source: Instituto Sensus
Methodology: Interviews with 2,000 Brazilian adults, conducted from Jan. 25 to Jan. 29, 2010. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
