(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Lima mayor Luis Castañeda Lossio and lawmaker Keiko Sofía Fujimori head the list of potential candidates in the early stages of Peru’s next presidential ballot, according to a poll by CPI. 22.3 per cent of respondents would vote for Castañeda in the 2011 election, up 1.9 points since October.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Lima mayor Luis Castañeda Lossio and lawmaker Keiko Sofía Fujimori head the list of potential candidates in the early stages of Peru’s next presidential ballot, according to a poll by CPI. 22.3 per cent of respondents would vote for Castañeda in the 2011 election, up 1.9 points since October.
Keiko Fujimori—the daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori—is second with 20.5 per cent, followed by nationalist leader Ollanta Humala with 12.5 per cent, and conservative candidate Lourdes Flores Nano with 9.5 per cent. Support is lower for former president Alejandro Toledo, former interior minister Yehude Simón, independent candidate Mercedes Araoz, retired army general Edwin Donayre, and Trujillo city mayor César Acuña.
In June 2006, Alan García—a member of the American Revolutionary People’s Alliance (APRA)—won Peru’s presidential election in a run-off against Humala. In July, García officially took over as president. He had previously served as Peru’s head of state from 1985 to 1990, when he oversaw a major economic crisis.
Last April, Alberto Fujimori was found guilty "beyond all reasonable doubt" of four charges laid against him—including misuse of public funds, kidnapping and murder—and sentenced to serve 25 years in prison. In September, Fujimori was handed a new six-year sentence, this time for corruption.
Vladimiro Montesinos, Fujimori’s closest advisor and the head of Peru’s National Intelligence Service (SIN) during his decade-long tenure, has been convicted in 13 different trials for crimes such as plotting against national security, arms dealing and embezzlement. He is currently serving a 20-year sentence in Peru and awaiting a verdict on other 50 or so processes against him.
In October, Keiko Fujimori criticized a proposal by García to call a referendum on scrapping the country’s mandatory voting legislation, saying, "There are many pockets of poverty; this vote would cause that many of these sectors no longer participate in elections. (…) Mandatory voting makes the population more conscious."
Polling Data
Which of these politicians would you support as a presidential candidate in 2011?
|
|
Dec. 2009
|
Oct. 2009
|
Aug. 2009
|
|
Luis Castañeda Lossio
|
22.3%
|
20.4%
|
18.4%
|
|
Keiko Sofía Fujimori
|
20.5%
|
21.5%
|
21.1%
|
|
Ollanta Humala
|
12.5%
|
9.8%
|
11.8%
|
|
Lourdes Flores Nano
|
9.5%
|
9.0%
|
10.2%
|
|
Alejandro Toledo
|
8.7%
|
10.5%
|
11.9%
|
|
Yehude Simón
|
2.2%
|
2.5%
|
2.6%
|
|
Mercedes Araoz
|
2.1%
|
2.0%
|
n.a.
|
|
Edwin Donayre
|
2.0%
|
1.3%
|
1.1%
|
|
César Acuña
|
1.3%
|
1.7%
|
n.a.
|
|
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
|
n.a.
|
1.9%
|
1.3%
|
|
Humberto Lay
|
n.a.
|
n.a.
|
1.2%
|
|
Jorge del Castillo
|
n.a.
|
n.a.
|
1.9%
|
Source: CPI
Methodology: Interviews with 1,386 Peruvian adults, conducted from Dec. 5 to Dec. 9, 2009. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
