(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The presidential bid of Sao Paulo governor Jose Serra is losing traction as the election year draws near, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. 31.8 per cent of respondents would vote for Serra of the conservative Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) in the 2010 election, down 7.7 points since September.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The presidential bid of Sao Paulo governor Jose Serra is losing traction as the election year draws near, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. 31.8 per cent of respondents would vote for Serra of the conservative Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) in the 2010 election, down 7.7 points since September.
Current government chief of staff Dilma Rousseff of the Worker’s Party (PT) is second with 21.7 per cent, followed by Ciro Gomes of the Socialist People’s Party (PSB) with 17.5 per cent, and Marina Silva of the Green Party (PV) with 5.9 per cent.
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva—a member of the PT—won the October 2002 presidential election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Serra. In October 2006, he earned a new four-year term, defeating PSDB candidate Geraldo Alckmin with 60.8 per cent of the vote in the second round.
Lula has publicly endorsed Rousseff as his preferred successor. On Nov. 27, presidential advisor Olivio Dutra praised Rousseff as a worthy competitor, declaring, "We’re building victory for our candidate who represents a model of country that can’t be put back, that can’t be delayed, and which must be perpetuated. We are certain Dilma is the right person, she has all the conditions to be elected."
Lula is ineligible for a third term in office. The first round of Brazil’s next presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 3, 2010.
Polling Data
Which of these candidates would you vote for in the next presidential election?
|
|
Nov. 2009
|
Sept. 2009
|
Mar. 2009
|
|
Jose Serra (PSDB)
|
31.8%
|
39.5%
|
45.7%
|
|
Dilma Rousseff (PT)
|
21.7%
|
19.0%
|
16.3%
|
|
Ciro Gomes (PSB)
|
17.5%
|
n.a.
|
n.a.
|
|
Marina Silva (PV)
|
5.9%
|
4.8%
|
n.a.
|
|
None / Blank ballot
|
11.1%
|
14.4%
|
16.7%
|
|
Not sure / Undecided
|
12.1%
|
12.8%
|
10.3%
|
|
Heloisa Helena (PSOL)
|
n.a.
|
9.7%
|
11.0%
|
Source: Instituto Sensus
Methodology: Interviews with 2,000 Brazilian adults, conducted from Nov. 16 to Nov. 20, 2009. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
