(11/29/09) - Early Presidential Leaders Emerge in Peru
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Presidential hopefuls in Peru remain moderately unpopular but there are two discernible frontrunners, according to a poll by Ipsos, Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado published in El Comercio. 23 per cent of respondents would vote for Lima mayor Luis Castañeda Lossio in the 2011 ballot, up one point since October.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Presidential hopefuls in Peru remain moderately unpopular but there are two discernible frontrunners, according to a poll by Ipsos, Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado published in El Comercio. 23 per cent of respondents would vote for Lima mayor Luis Castañeda Lossio in the 2011 ballot, up one point since October.
Keiko Sofía Fujimori, the daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori, is a close second with 22 per cent, followed by nationalist leader Ollanta Humala with 12 per cent, former president Alejandro Toledo with 10 per cent, and conservative candidate Lourdes Flores Nano with nine per cent. 24 per cent of respondents remain undecided.
In June 2006, Alan García—a member of the American Revolutionary People’s Alliance (APRA)—won Peru’s presidential election in a run-off against Humala. In July, García officially took over as president. He had previously served as Peru’s head of state from 1985 to 1990, when he oversaw a major economic crisis.
Last April, Alberto Fujimori was found guilty "beyond all reasonable doubt" of four charges laid against him—including misuse of public funds, kidnapping and murder—and sentenced to serve 25 years in prison. On Sept. 30, Fujimori was handed a new six-year sentence, this time for corruption.
Vladimiro Montesinos, Fujimori’s closest advisor and the head of Peru’s National Intelligence Service (SIN) during his decade-long tenure, has been convicted in 13 different trials for crimes such as plotting against national security, arms dealing and embezzlement. He is currently serving a 20-year sentence in Peru and awaiting a verdict on other 50 or so processes against him.
On Nov. 19, Keiko Fujimori vowed to increase funding for the Armed Forces if elected, declaring, "We need a strong, well-paid, and well-equipped army".
Polling Data
If the 2011 presidential election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for?
|
|
Nov. 2009
|
Oct. 2009
|
Aug. 2009
|
|
Luis Castañeda Lossio
|
23%
|
22%
|
18%
|
|
Keiko Sofía Fujimori
|
22%
|
20%
|
22%
|
|
Ollanta Humala
|
12%
|
13%
|
13%
|
|
Alejandro Toledo
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
|
Lourdes Flores Nano
|
9%
|
9%
|
11%
|
|
Other / Blank / Undecided
|
24%
|
26%
|
26%
|
Source: Ipsos, Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado / El Comercio
Methodology: Interviews with 1,000 Peruvian adults, conducted from Nov. 11 to Nov. 13, 2009. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.