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(07/04/09) -

GERB Seems Set for Victory in Bulgaria

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) could have a prominent role in the country’s next government, according to a poll by the Centre for Analyses and Marketing (CAM). 33.2 per cent of respondents would vote for GERB in tomorrow’s general election.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) could have a prominent role in the country’s next government, according to a poll by the Centre for Analyses and Marketing (CAM). 33.2 per cent of respondents would vote for GERB in tomorrow’s general election.

The governing Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) is second with 22.7 per cent, followed by the Turkish Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) with 13.3 per cent, the far-right Ataka (Attack) with 8.7 per cent, and the coalition of the United Democratic Forces (ODS) and the Democrats for Strong Bulgaria (DSB) with 6.5 per cent.

Support is lower for the National Movement for Stability and Progress (NDSV), Order, Law and Justice (RZS), and the coalition of Lider and New Time (NV).

In June 2005, Bulgarian voters renewed the National Assembly. The Coalition for Bulgaria (KzB)—which included the BSP—secured 82 seats, followed by the NDSV with 53 lawmakers. In August, the two main parties, along with the DPS, agreed to set-up a coalition administration with Socialist leader Sergey Stanishev as prime minister.

In 2007, Bulgaria officially joined the European Union (EU). In 2006, Sofia mayor Boyko Borissov assembled the centre-right, pro-European GERB. In October 2007, Borissov was re-elected by a wide margin.

On Jul. 2, Stanishev expressed disappointment with the tone of the campaign, saying, "The opposition has failed to present ideas on how to rule the country and has also displayed ignorance about how to achieve good results. (…) People should know that Borissov cannot rule without [DSB leader Ivan] Kostov and that by voting for GERB people will bring Kostov back to power."

The general election will take place tomorrow.

Polling Data

What party would you support in a general election?

Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB)

33.2%

Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP)

22.7%

Turkish Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS)

13.3%

Ataka (Attack)

8.7%

United Democratic Forces (ODS) /
Democrats for Strong Bulgaria (DSB)

6.5%

National Movement for Stability and Progress (NDSV)

3.9%

Order, Law and Justice (RZS)

3.7%

Lider / New Time (NV)

3.7%

Source: Centre for Analyses and Marketing (CAM)
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,029 Bulgarian adults, conducted from Jun. 26 to Jun. 30, 2009. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.