(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is likely to get the biggest share of the vote in the upcoming mid-term election, according to a poll by Berumen y Asociados published in El Universal. 43.3 per cent of respondents—all decided voters—would support the opposition PRI in the July ballot, down 1.4 points since May.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is likely to get the biggest share of the vote in the upcoming mid-term election, according to a poll by Berumen y Asociados published in El Universal. 43.3 per cent of respondents—all decided voters—would support the opposition PRI in the July ballot, down 1.4 points since May.
The governing National Action Party (PAN) is second with 35.8 per cent, followed by the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) with 14.4 per cent.
The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 presidential election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Mexican voters chose their new president in July 2006. Official results placed Felipe Calderón of the PAN as the winner with 36.68 per cent of all cast ballots, followed by Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the PRD with 36.11 per cent, and Roberto Madrazo of the PRI with 22.71 per cent. Calderón—a former energy secretary—took over as Mexico’s head of state in December.
In the July 2006 legislative election, the PAN secured 206 seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies, followed by a PRD-led alliance with 160 lawmakers, and a coalition of the PRI and the Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM) with 121 mandates.
Earlier this month, a recording of Mauricio Fernández—a PAN mayoral candidate in the city of San Pedro—talking to a small group of supporters was leaked to the media. Fernández said that drug lords have contacted several candidates across the country seeking their support. On Jun. 15, Fernández stood by his comments, denying that he had met personally with any drug lords, and adding, "I am stating the reality that my city is living. I don’t have any reason to hide it."
The legislative mid-term election is scheduled for Jul. 5.
Polling Data
Which party would you vote for in the next election to the Chamber of Deputies? (Decided Voters)
|
|
Jun. 2009 |
May 2009 |
|
Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) |
43.3% |
44.7% |
|
National Action Party (PAN) |
35.8% |
36.8% |
|
Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) |
14.4% |
13.0% |
|
Other parties |
6.4% |
5.5% |
Source: Berumen y Asociados / El Universal
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 Mexican adults, conducted from May 29 to Jun. 1, 2009. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
