(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Republican John McCain is leading in his home state in this month’s United States presidential race, according to a poll by American Research Group. 50 per cent of respondents in the Grand Canyon State would vote for their U.S. senator, while 46 per cent would back Democratic Illinois senator Barack Obama.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Republican John McCain is leading in his home state in this month’s United States presidential race, according to a poll by American Research Group. 50 per cent of respondents in the Grand Canyon State would vote for their U.S. senator, while 46 per cent would back Democratic Illinois senator Barack Obama.
In a survey by Research 2000, McCain and Obama are virtually tied.
In 2004, Republican George W. Bush won the Grand Canyon State’s 10 electoral votes, with 55 per cent of the vote. Since 1972, the only Democrat who has carried Arizona in a presidential election is Bill Clinton in 1996.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Arizona – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| (13) American Research Group | 50% | 46% | 4% | Oct. 28-30 |
| (12) Research 2000 | 48% | 47% | 5% | Oct. 28-30 |
| (11) Mason-Dixon | 48% | 44% | 8% | Oct. 27-28 |
| (10) Opinion Research Corp. | 53% | 46% | 1% | Oct. 23-28 |
| (9) Rasmussen Reports | 51% | 46% | 3% | Oct. 26 |
| (8) Zimmerman & Associates | 44% | 42% | 14% | Oct. 16-19 |
| (7) Rasmussen Reports | 59% | 38% | 3% | Sept. 29 |
| (6) Arizona State Univ. | 45% | 38% | 17% | Sept. 25-28 |
| (5) Mason-Dixon | 47% | 41% | 12% | Aug. 13-16 |
| (4) Arizona State Univ. | 40% | 30% | 30% | Aug. 14-16 |
| (3) Public Policy Polling | 52% | 40% | 8% | Jul. 30-31 |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 57% | 38% | 5% | Jul. 30 |
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports |
49% |
40% |
11% |
Jun. 25 |
(13) American Research Group – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Arizona voters, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(12) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Arizona voters, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(11) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Arizona voters, conducted on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(10) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Arizona voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(9) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Arizona voters, conducted on Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(8) Zimmerman & Associates – Telephone interviews with 408 likely voters in Arizona, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Arizona voters, conducted on Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(6) Arizona State University – Telephone interviews with 976 registered Arizona voters, conducted from Aug. 13 to Aug. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
(5) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. – Telephone interviews with 400 likely Arizona voters, conducted from Aug. 13 to Aug. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(4) Arizona State University – Telephone interviews with 402 registered voters in Arizona, conducted on Aug. 14 to Aug. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(3) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in Arizona, conducted on Jul. 30 and Jul. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Arizona, conducted on Jul. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Arizona, conducted on Jun. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
