(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama could carry the Golden State in this month’s United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA. 60 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator, while 36 per cent would back Republican Arizona senator John McCain.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama could carry the Golden State in this month’s United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA. 60 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator, while 36 per cent would back Republican Arizona senator John McCain.
A poll by Field gives Obama a 22-point advantage over McCain.
In 2004, Democrat John Kerry carried the Golden State’s 55 electoral votes, with 55 per cent of all cast ballots. The last Republican to win California in a presidential election was George H. Bush in 1988.
U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
California – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| (17) SurveyUSA | 36% | 60% | 4% | Oct. 29-31 |
| (16) Field | 33% | 55% | 12% | Oct. 18-28 |
| (15) Rasmussen Reports | 34% | 61% | 5% | Oct. 25 |
| (14) PPIC | 33% | 56% | 11% | Oct. 12-19 |
| (13) SurveyUSA | 35% | 59% | 6% | Oct. 15-16 |
| (12) Rasmussen Reports | 40% | 56% | 4% | Oct. 9 |
| (11) SurveyUSA | 43% | 53% | 14% | Sept. 23-24 |
| (10) Rasmussen Reports | 39% | 56% | 5% | Sept. 22 |
| (9) PPIC | 40% | 50% | 10% | Sept. 9-16 |
| (8) Field | 36% | 52% | 12% | Sept. 5-14 |
| (7) Rasmussen Reports | 41% | 54% | 5% | Aug. 21 |
| (6) PPIC | 39% | 48% | 23% | Aug. 12-19 |
| (5) PPIC | 35% | 50% | 15% | Jul. 8-24 |
| (4) Rasmussen Reports | 38% | 50% | 12% | Jul. 24 |
| (3) Field | 40% | 54% | 6% | Jul. 8-14 |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 38% | 50% | 12% | Jun. 23 |
|
(1) SurveyUSA |
41% |
53% |
6% |
Jun. 18 |
(17) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 637 likely California voters, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(16) Field – Telephone interviews with 966 likely California voters, conducted from Oct. 18 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(15) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely California voters, conducted on Oct. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(14) Public Policy Institute of California – Telephone interviews with 1,186 likely voters in California, conducted from Oct. 12 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(13) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 615 likely voters in California, conducted on Oct. 14 and Oct. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4.0 per cent.
(12) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely California voters, conducted on Oct. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(11) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 661 likely California voters, conducted on Sept. 23 and Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(10) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in California conducted on Sept. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(9) PPIC – Telephone interviews with 1,157 likely California voters, conducted from Sept. 9 to Sept. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
(8) Field – Telephone interviews with 830 likely voters in California conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in California conducted on Aug. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(6) Public Policy Institute of California – Telephone interviews with 1,047 likely voters in California, conducted from Aug. 12 to Aug. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(5) Public Policy Institute of California – Telephone interviews with 1,401 likely voters in California, conducted from Jul. 8 to Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(4) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in California, conducted on Jul. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(3) Field – Telephone interviews with 672 likely voters in California, conducted on Jul. 8 to Jul. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in California, conducted on Jun. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 503 likely voters in California, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
