(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a slight lead over Republican John McCain in the Buckeye State, according to a review of the latest seven voting intention polls. 49.3 per cent of voters in Ohio would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 46.2 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a slight lead over Republican John McCain in the Buckeye State, according to a review of the latest seven voting intention polls. 49.3 per cent of voters in Ohio would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 46.2 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Obama is ahead in five of the surveys, McCain leads in one, and the two contenders are tied in another.
In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Ohio’s 20 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of the vote. The Buckeye State has supported the eventual president in every U.S. election since 1964.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Ohio – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 46.2% | 49.3% | 4.5% | |
| (70) Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 49% | 2% | Nov. 2 |
| (69) Strategic Vision | 48% | 46 | 6 | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 |
| (68) Public Policy Polling | 48% | 50% | 2% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 |
| (67) SurveyUSA | 46% | 48% | 6% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (66) Zogby International | 44% | 50% | 6% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (65) Univ. of Cincinnati | 46% | 52% | 2% | Oct. 29-Nov. 2 |
| (64) Quinnipiac University | 43% | 50% | 7% | Oct. 27-Nov. 2 |
| (63) Columbus Dispatch | 46% | 52% | 2% | Oct. 22-31 |
| (62) Mason-Dixon | 47% | 45% | 8% | Oct. 29-30 |
| (61) Opinion Research Corp. | 47% | 51% | 2% | Oct. 23-28 |
| (60) SurveyUSA | 45% | 49% | 6% | Oct. 26-27 |
| (59) Bloomberg / LA Times | 40% | 49% | 11% | Oct. 25-27 |
| (58) FD / National Journal | 43% | 47% | 10% | Oct. 23-27 |
| (57) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 49% | 6% | Oct. 26 |
| (56) Marist College | 45% | 48% | 7% | Oct. 24-26 |
| (55) Zogby International / Reuters | 45% | 50% | 5% | Oct. 23-26 |
| (54) GfK Roper | 41% | 48% | 11% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (53) Quinnipiac University | 42% | 51% | 7% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (52) Insider Advantage | 42% | 52% | 6% | Oct. 22 |
| (51) Strategic Vision | 48% | 45% | 7% | Oct. 20-22 |
| (50) Big Ten Universities | 41% | 53% | 6% | Oct. 19-22 |
| (49) Univ. of Cincinnati | 46% | 49% | 5% | Oct. 18-22 |
| (48) Opinion Research Corp. | 46% | 50% | 4% | Oct. 19-21 |
| (47) Quinnipiac University | 38% | 52% | 10% | Oct. 16-21 |
| (46) Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 47% | 5% | Oct. 19 |
| (45) Mason-Dixon | 46% | 45% | 9% | Oct. 16-17 |
| (44) Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 49% | 2% | Oct. 14 |
| (43) SurveyUSA | 45% | 50% | 5% | Oct. 12-13 |
| (42) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 49% | 4% | Oct. 12 |
| (41) Insider Advantage | 44% | 49% | 7% | Oct. 9 |
| (40) Strategic Vision | 46% | 48% | 6% | Oct. 6-8 |
| (39) Marist College | 40% | 48% | 12% | Oct. 5-8 |
| (38) Ohio Newspaper | 44% | 47% | 9% | Oct. 4-8 |
| (37) American Research Group | 45% | 48% | 5% | Oct. 4-7 |
| (36) Opinion Research Corp. | 47% | 50% | 3% | Oct. 3-6 |
| (35) Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 53% | 4% | Oct. 5 |
| (34) TNS / ABS / WP | 45% | 51% | 4% | Oct. 3-5 |
| (33) Columbus Dispatch | 42% | 49% | 9% | Sept. 24-Oct. 3 |
| (32) SurveyUSA | 49% | 48% | 3% | Sept. 28-29 |
| (31) Quinnipiac University | 42% | 50% | 8% | Sept. 27-29 |
| (30) Insider Advantage | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 29 |
| (29) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 47% | 5% | Sept. 28 |
| (28) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 46% | 7% | Sept. 24 |
| (27) Insider Advantage | 46% | 46% | 8% | Sept. 23 |
| (26) Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 46% | 4% | Sept. 21 |
| (25) University of Wisc-Mad | 45% | 46% | 9% | Sept. 14-17 |
| (24) Marist College | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 11-15 |
| (23) FD / National Journal | 42% | 41% | 17% | Sept. 11-15 |
| (22) Opinion Research Corp. | 47% | 49% | 4% | Sept. 13-14 |
| (21) Public Policy Polling | 48% | 44% | 8% | Sept. 13-14 |
| (20) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 45% | 7% | Sept. 14 |
| (19) Zogby Interactive | 50% | 44% | 6% | Sept. 9-12 |
|
(18) Suffolk University |
46% | 42% | 12% | Sept. 10-13 |
| (17) Insider Advantage | 48% | 47% | 5% | Sept. 9-10 |
| (16) University of Cincinnati | 48% | 44% | 8% | Sept. 5-10 |
| (15) Strategic Vision | 48% | 44% | 8% | Sept. 7-9 |
| (14) Quinnipiac University | 44% | 49% | 7% | Sept. 7-9 |
| (13) Rasmussen Reports | 51% | 44% | 5% | Sept. 7 |
| (12) Opinion Research Corp. | 45% | 47% | 8% | Aug. 31-Sept. 2 |
| (11) Quinnipiac University | 43% | 44% | 13% | Aug. 17-24 |
| (10) Columbis Dispatch | 42% | 41% | 17% | Aug. 12-21 |
| (9) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 43% | 8% | Aug. 18 |
| (8) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 45% | 10% | Aug. 12-14 |
| (7) Quinnipiac University | 44% | 46% | 10% | Jul. 23-29 |
| (6) Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 40% | 14% | Jul. 21 |
| (5) Public Policy Polling | 40% | 48% | 12% | Jul. 17-20 |
| (4) SurveyUSA | 46% | 48% | 7% | Jun. 20-22 |
|
(3) Rasmussen Reports |
44% |
43% |
14% |
Jun. 17 |
|
(2) Quinnipiac University |
42% |
48% |
10% |
Jun. 9-16 |
|
(1) Public Policy Polling |
39% |
50% |
11% |
Jun. 14-15 |
(70) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(69) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(68) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,208 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(67) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 660 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(66) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 605 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(65) University of Cincinnati – Telephone interviews with 1,221 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(64) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,574 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 27 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(63) Columbus Dispatch – Mail survey of 2,164 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 2 per cent.
(62) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Oct. 29 and Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(61) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 779 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(60) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 648 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 26 and Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(59) Bloomberg / Los Angeles Times – Telephone interviews with 644 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 25 to Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(58) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 404 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(57) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(56) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 661 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 24 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(55) Zogby Interactive – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(54) GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media – Telephone interviews with 607 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(53) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,425 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.
(52) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 408 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(51) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 20 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(50) Big Ten Universities – Telephone interviews with 564 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(49) University of Cincinnati – Telephone interviews with 564 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(48) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 737 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. Oct. 19 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(47) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,360 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(46) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(45) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 16 and Oct. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(44) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Oct. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(43) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 575 likely voters in Ohio conducted on Oct. 12 and Oct. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(42) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1000 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Oct. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(41) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 509 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Oct. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(40) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 6 to Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(39) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 771 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 5 to Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(38) Ohio Newspaper Poll – Telephone interviews with 876 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
(37) American Research Group, Inc. – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(36) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 749 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(35) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1000 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(34) TNS / ABC News / Washington Post – Telephone interviews with 772 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(33) Columbus Dispatch – Mail interviews with 2,262 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 25 to Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 2 per cent.
(32) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 693 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 28 and Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(31) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 825 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 27 to Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
(30) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 512 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(29) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(28) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(27) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 545 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(26) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(25) University of Wisconsin-Madison – Telephone interviews with 619 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(24) Marist College Institute for Public Opinion – Telephone interviews with 565 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 11 to Sept. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(23) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 400 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 11 to Sept. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(22) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 913 registered Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 13 and Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(21) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1077 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 13 and Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(20) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(19) Zogby Interactive – Online interviews with 847 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 9 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
(18) Suffolk University – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Ohio conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(17) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 503 likely voters in Ohio conducted on Sept. 9 and Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(16) University of Cincinnati – Telephone interviews with 775 likely voters in Ohio conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(15) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Ohio conducted from Sept. 7 to Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.0 per cent.
(14) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,367 likely voters in Ohio conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(13) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(12) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 685 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(11) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,234 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Aug. 17 to Aug. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(10) Columbus Dispatch – Mail survey with 2,102 registered voters in Ohio, conducted from Aug. 11 to Aug. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.
(9) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Aug. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(8) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 950 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Aug. 12 to Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
(7) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,229 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Jul. 23 to Jul. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(6) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Jul. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(5) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews to 1,058 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Jul. 17 to Jul. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(4) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 580 likely voters in Ohio, conducted from Jun. 20 to Jun. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(3) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Ohio, conducted on Jun. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,396 registered voters in Ohio, conducted from Jun. 9 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.
(1) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews to 733 likely Ohio voters, conducted on Jun. 14 and Jun. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
