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(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Keystone State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 52.3 per cent of voters in Pennsylvania would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 43.8 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Keystone State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 52.3 per cent of voters in Pennsylvania would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 43.8 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Obama surpasses the 50 per cent mark in all six surveys.
In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Keystone State since George H. Bush in 1988.
U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Pennsylvania – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 43.8% | 52.3% | 3.9% | |
| (70) Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 52% | 2% | Nov. 2 |
| (69) Strategic Vision | 44% | 51% | 5% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 |
| (68) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 53% | 2% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (67) Zogby International | 40% | 54% | 6% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (66) Muhlenberg College | 46% | 52% | 2% | Oct. 29-Nov. 2 |
| (65) Quinnipiac University | 42% | 52% | 6% | Oct. 27-Nov. 2 |
| (64) SurveyUSA | 44% | 51% | 5% | Oct. 29-31 |
| (63) American Research Group | 45% | 51% | 4% | Oct. 29-31 |
| (62) Muhlenberg College | 45% | 52% | 3% | Oct. 28-31 |
| (61) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 51% | 4% | Oct. 30 |
| (60) Muhlenberg College | 45% | 52% | 3% | Oct. 26-30 |
| (59) Strategic Vision | 44% | 49% | 7% | Oct. 27-29 |
| (58) Mason-Dixon | 43% | 47% | 10% | Oct. 27-28 |
| (57) Muhlenberg College | 42% | 53% | 5% | Oct. 24-28 |
| (56) Opinion Research Corp. | 43% | 55% | 2% | Oct. 23-28 |
| (55) Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 53% | 1% | Oct. 27 |
| (54) Marist College | 41% | 55% | 4% | Oct. 26-27 |
| (53) Muhlenberg College | 42% | 51% | 7% | Oct. 26 |
| (52) Insider Advantage | 42% | 51% | 7% | Oct. 26 |
| (51) GfK Roper | 40% | 52% | 8% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (50) Quinnipiac University | 41% | 53% | 6% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (49) Franklin & Mashall | 40% | 53% | 7% | Oct. 21-26 |
| (48) Muhlenberg College | 40% | 53% | 7% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (47) Temple University | 41% | 50% | 9% | Oct. 20-26 |
| (46) Muhlenberg College | 40% | 53% | 7% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (45) Muhlenberg College | 40% | 52% | 8% | Oct. 19-23 |
| (44) SurveyUSA | 41% | 53% | 6% | Oct. 21-22 |
| (43) Strategic Vision | 43% | 50% | 7% | Oct. 20-22 |
| (42) Big Ten Universities | 41% | 52% | 7% | Oct. 19-22 |
| (41) Quinnipiac University | 40% | 53% | 7% | Oct. 16-21 |
| (40) Muhlenberg College | 42% | 52% | 6% | Oct. 16-20 |
| (39) Susquehanna | 40% | 48% | 12% | Oct. 16-19 |
| (38) Muhlenberg College | 41% | 53% | 6% | Oct. 15-19 |
| (37) Muhlenberg College | 40% | 52% | 8% | Oct. 14-18 |
| (36) Muhlenberg College | 37% | 53% | 10% | Oct. 11-15 |
| (35) SurveyUSA | 40% | 55% | 5% | Oct. 11-13 |
| (34) Muhlenberg College | 38% | 51% | 11% | Oct. 9-13 |
| (33) Marist College | 41% | 53% | 6% | Oct. 5-8 |
| (32) Strategic Vision | 40% | 54% | 6% | Oct. 5-7 |
| (31) Muhlenberg College | 38% | 50% | 12% | Oct. 3-7 |
| (30) Rasmussen Reports | 41% | 54% | 5% | Oct. 6 |
| (29) SurveyUSA | 40% | 55% | 5% | Oct. 5-6 |
| (28) Quinnipiac University | 40% | 55% | 5% | Oct. 5-6 |
| (27) Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 50% | 8% | Sept. 28 |
| (26) Muhlenberg College | 42% | 49% | 9% | Sept. 24-28 |
| (25) Muhlenberg College | 43% | 47% | 10% | Sept. 21-24 |
| (24) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 49% | 6% | Sept. 24 |
| (23) SurveyUSA | 44% | 50% | 6% | Sept. 23-24 |
| (22) Strategic Vision | 46% | 47% | 7% | Sept. 21-23 |
| (21) Opinion Research Corp. | 44% | 53% | 3% | Sept. 21-23 |
| (20) FD / National Journal | 41% | 43% | 16% | Sept. 18-22 |
| (19) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 48% | 7% | Sept. 21 |
| (18) Mason-Dixon | 44% | 46% | 10% | Sept. 16-18 |
| (17) University of Wisc-Mad | 45% | 45% | 10% | Sept. 14-17 |
| (16) Marist College | 44% | 49% | 7% | Sept. 11-15 |
| (15) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 47% | 6% | Sept. 14 |
| (14) Zogby Interactive | 49% | 44% | 7% | Sept. 9-12 |
| (13) Quinnipiac University | 45% | 48% | 7% | Sept. 5-9 |
| (12) Strategic Vision | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 5-7 |
| (11) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 7 |
| (10) Opinion Research Corp. | 43% | 48% | 9% | Aug. 24-26 |
| (9) Quinnipiac University | 42% | 49% | 9% | Aug. 17-24 |
| (8) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 48% | 7% | Aug. 19 |
| (7) Susquehanna | 41% | 46% | 13% | Aug. 11-14 |
| (6) Franklin & Marshall | 41% | 46% | 13% | Aug. 4-9 |
| (5) Quinnipiac University | 42% | 49% | 9% | Jul. 23 |
| (4) Strategic Vision | 40% | 49% | 11% | Jul. 25-27 |
| (3) Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 47% | 13% | Jul. 23 |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 46% | 13% | Jun. 19 |
|
(1) Quinnipiac University |
40% |
52% |
8% |
Jun. 9-16 |
(70) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(69) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(68) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,529 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(67) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 602 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(66) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 617 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(65) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,493 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 27 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(64) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 29 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(63) American Research Group – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(62) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 615 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(61) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(60) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 615 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 26 to Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(59) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(58) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(57) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 610 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 24 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(56) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 768 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(55) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(54) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 713 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Oct. 26 and Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(53) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 589 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(52) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 588 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(51) GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media – Telephone interviews with 607 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(50) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,364 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(49) Franklin & Marshall College – Telephone interviews with 790 registered voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 21 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(48) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 589 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(47) Temple University – Telephone interviews with 761 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(46) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 589 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(45) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 608 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(44) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 620 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Oct. 21 and Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.0 per cent.
(43) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 20 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3.0 per cent.
(42) Big Ten Universities – Telephone interviews with 566 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(41) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,425 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.
(40) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(39) Susquehanna Polling & Research – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(38) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 607 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 15 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(37) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 599 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 14 to Oct. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(36) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 595 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 11 to Oct. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(35) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 516 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 10 to Oct. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
(34) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 612 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 9 to Oct. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(33) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 757 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Oct. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(32) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 5 to Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(31) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 602 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(30) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Oct. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(29) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 653 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Oct. 5 to Oct. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(28) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 832 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Sept. 27 to Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
(27) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(26) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 581 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 24 to Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(25) Muhlenberg College – Telephone interviews with 577 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 21 to Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(24) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(23) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 1,094 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Sept. 23 and Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(22) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 21 to Sept. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(21) Opinion Research Corp. – Telephone interviews with 730 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 21 to Sept. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(20) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 406 registered Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 18 to Sept. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(19) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(18) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 16 to Sept. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(17) University of Wisconsin-Madison – Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(16) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 535 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Sept. 11 to Sept. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 45 per cent.
(15) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(14) Zogby Interactive – Online interviews with 701 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 9 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(13) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,001 likely voters in Pennsylvania conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.
(12) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 3.0 per cent.
(11) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(10) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 669 registered Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Aug. 24 to Aug. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(9) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,234 likely voters in Pennsylvania conducted from Aug. 17 to Aug. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(8) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted on Aug. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Susquehanna Polling and Research – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Aug. 11 to Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(6) Franklin & Marshall College – Telephone interviews with 641 adults in Pennsylvania, conducted from Aug. 4 to Aug. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(5) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,317 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Jul. 23 to Jul. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(4) Strategic Vision – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Jul. 25 to Jul. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(3) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Jul. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Pennsylvania, conducted on Jun. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,511 registered voters in Pennsylvania, conducted from Jun. 9 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.
