(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama is ahead of Republican John McCain in the Old Dominion State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 51.0 per cent of voters in Virginia would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 46.0 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama is ahead of Republican John McCain in the Old Dominion State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 51.0 per cent of voters in Virginia would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 46.0 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Obama reaches the 50 per cent mark in all four surveys.
In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, with 54 per cent of all cast ballots. No Democrat has carried the Old Dominion State since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Virginia – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 46.0% | 51.0% | 3.0% | |
| (54) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 51% | 2% | Nov. 2 |
| (53) Public Policy Polling | 46% | 52% | 2% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 |
| (52) Zogby International | 45% | 51% | 4% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (51) SurveyUSA | 46% | 50% | 4% | Oct. 30-Nov. 1 |
| (50) Mason-Dixon | 44% | 47% | 9% | Oct. 29-30 |
| (49) Opinion Research Corp. | 44% | 53% | 3% | Oct. 23-28 |
| (48) Marist College | 47% | 51% | 2% | Oct. 26-27 |
| (47) FD / National Journal | 44% | 48% | 8% | Oct. 23-27 |
| (46) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 51% | 2% | Oct. 26 |
| (45) Gfk Roper | 42% | 49% | 9% | Oct. 22-26 |
| (44) SurveyUSA | 43% | 52% | 5% | Oct. 25-26 |
| (43) Zogby International / Reuters | 45% | 52% | 3% | Oct. 23-26 |
| (42) TNS / Washington Post | 44% | 52% | 4% | Oct. 22-25 |
| (41) Virginia Commonwealth Univ. | 40% | 51% | 9% | Oct. 20-22 |
| (40) Mason-Dixon | 45% | 47% | 8% | Oct. 20-21 |
| (39) Opinion Research Corp. | 44% | 54% | 2% | Oct. 19-21 |
| (38) Winthrop Univ. / ETV | 44% | 45% | 11% | Sept. 28-Oct. 19 |
| (37) SurveyUSA | 45% | 51% | 4% | Oct. 18-19 |
| (36) Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 54% | 2% | Oct. 16 |
| (35) Christopher Newport Univ. | 43% | 49% | 8% | Oct. 11-14 |
| (34) Opinion Research Corp. | 43% | 53% | 4% | Oct. 11-14 |
| (33) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 50% | 3% | Oct. 12 |
| (32) Public Policy Polling | 43% | 51% | 6% | Oct. 6-7 |
| (31) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 50% | 2% | Oct. 5 |
| (30) SurveyUSA | 43% | 53% | 4% | Oct. 4-5 |
| (29) Suffolk Univ. | 39% | 51% | 10% | Oct. 3-5 |
| (28) Mason-Dixon | 48% | 45% | 7% | Sept. 29-Oct. 1 |
| (27) Opinion Research Corp. | 44% | 53% | 3% | Sept. 28-30 |
| (26) Insider Advantage | 45% | 51% | 4% | Sept. 29 |
| (25) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 50% | 3% | Sept. 28 |
| (24) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 50% | 5% | Sept. 25 |
| (23) Mason-Dixon | 47% | 44% | 9% | Sept. 17-22 |
| (22) Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 48% | 2% | Sept. 21 |
| (21) SurveyUSA | 45% | 51% | 4% | Sept. 19-21 |
| (20) TNS / ABC / WP | 46% | 49% | 5% | Sept. 18-21 |
| (19) Insider Advantage | 48% | 46% | 6% | Sept. 17 |
| (18) FD / National Journal | 48% | 41% | 11% | Sept. 11-15 |
| (17) Public Policy Polling | 46% | 48% | 6% | Sept. 13-14 |
| (16) Christopher Newport Univ. | 48% | 39% | 13% | Sept. 10-14 |
| (15) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 48% | 4% | Sept. 14 |
| (14) SurveyUSA | 46% | 50% | 4% | Sept. 12-14 |
| (13) Zogby Interactive | 50% | 44% | 6% | Sept. 9-12 |
| (12) Opinion Research Corp. | 50% | 46% | 4% | Sept. 7-9 |
| (11) Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 47% | 4% | Sept. 7 |
| (10) SurveyUSA | 49% | 47% | 4% | Sept. 5-7 |
| (9) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 47% | 8% | Aug. 20-22 |
| (8) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 47% | 5% | Aug. 12 |
| (7) Insider Advantage | 43% | 43% | 14% | Aug. 12 |
| (6) SurveyUSA | 48% | 47% | 5% | Aug. 8-10 |
| (5) Public Policy Polling | 44% | 46% | 10% | Jul. 17-20 |
| (4) Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 44% | 12% | Jul. 16 |
| (3) SurveyUSA | 47% | 49% | 4% | Jun. 20-22 |
| (2) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 47% | 8% | Jun. 14-16 |
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports |
44% |
45% |
11% |
Jun. 12 |
(54) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(53) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,557 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(52) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(51) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 672 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(50) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 29 and Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(49) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 774 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(48) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 26 and Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(47) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 404 registered Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(46) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(45) GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media – Telephone interviews with 601 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(44) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 20 and Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(43) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(42) TNS / Washington Post – Telephone interviews with 784 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(41) Virginia Commonwealth University – Telephone interviews with 817 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 20 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(40) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research – Telephone interviews with 625 registered voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 20 and Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(39) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 647 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. Oct. 19 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(38) Winthrop University / ETV – Telephone interviews with 665 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(37) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 652 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Oct. 18 and Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(36) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Oct. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(35) Christopher Newport University – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Oct. 11 to Oct. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.38 per cent.
(34) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 698 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 11 to Oct. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(33) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(32) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 917 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Oct. 6 and Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
(31) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(30) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 666 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Oct. 4 and Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(29) Suffolk University – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(28) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 29 to Oct. 1, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(27) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 684 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 28 to Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(26) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 436 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(25) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(24) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(23) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 17 to Sept. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(22) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(21) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 716 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 19 to Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(20) TNS / ABC News / Washington Post – Telephone interviews with 698 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 18 to Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(19) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 502 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(18) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 400 registered voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 11 to Sept. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(17) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,090 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 13 and Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(16) Christopher Newport University – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
(15) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 registered Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(14) Survey USA – Telephone interviews with 732 registered voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 12 to Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent
(13) Zogby Interactive – Online interviews with 689 likely Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 9 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent. (12) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 920 registered voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 7 to Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(11) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Virginia voters, conducted on Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(10) Survey USA – Telephone interviews with 717 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Sept. 5 to Sept. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(9) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,036 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Aug. 20 to Aug. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(8) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Aug. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 416 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Aug. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(6) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 655 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Aug. 8 to Aug. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(5) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,327 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Jul. 17 to Jul. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(4) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Jul. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(3) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 630 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Jun. 20 to Jun. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 893 likely voters in Virginia, conducted from Jun. 14 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Virginia, conducted on Jun. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
