(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Hawkeye State, according to a review of the latest three voting intention polls. 54.0 per cent of voters in Iowa would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 38.6 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Hawkeye State, according to a review of the latest three voting intention polls. 54.0 per cent of voters in Iowa would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 38.6 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Obama surpasses the 50 per cent mark in all three surveys.
In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Iowa’s seven electoral votes, with 50 per cent of all cast ballots. No GOP nominee had carried the Hawkeye State since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Iowa – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 38.6% | 54.0% | 7.4% | |
| (22) Selzer & Co. | 37% | 54% | 9% | Oct.. 28-31 |
| (21) SurveyUSA | 40% | 55% | 5% | Oct. 28-29 |
| (20) Research 2000 | 39% | 53% | 8% | Oct. 27-29 |
| (19) Marist College | 42% | 52% | 6% | Oct. 23-24 |
| (18) Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 52% | 4% | Oct. 23 |
| (17) Mason-Dixon | 40% | 51% | 9% | Oct. 22-23 |
| (16) Research 2000 | 39% | 54% | 7% | Oct. 19-22 |
| (15) Big Ten Universities | 39% | 52% | 9% | Oct. 19-22 |
| (14) SurveyUSA | 41% | 54% | 5% | Oct. 8-9 |
| (13) Research 2000 | 39% | 55% | 6% | Sept. 29-30 |
| (12) Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 51% | 6% | Sept. 25 |
| (11) Marist College | 41% | 51% | 8% | Sept. 18-21 |
| (10) Research 2000 | 39% | 53% | 8% | Sept. 15-17 |
| (9) SurveyUSA | 43% | 54% | 3% | Sept. 17-18 |
| (8) University of Wisc-Mad | 45% | 45% | 10% | Sept. 14-17 |
| (7) Selzer & Co. | 40% | 52% | 8% | Sept. 8-10 |
| (6) Opinion Research Corp. | 40% | 55% | 5% | Aug. 31-Sept. 2 |
| (5) Univ. of Iowa | 43% | 50% | 7% | Aug. 4-13 |
| (4) Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 49% | 7% | Aug. 7 |
| (3) Rasmussen Reports | 38% | 48% | 14% | Jul. 10 |
| (2) SurveyUSA | 45% | 49% | 6% | Jun. 13-16 |
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports |
38% |
45% |
16% |
Jun. 10 |
(22) Selzer & Co. – Telephone interviews with 814 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(21) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 658 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Oct. 28 and Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(20) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4.0 per cent.
(19) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 645 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Oct. 23 and Oct. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 4.0 per cent.
(18) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely voters in Iowa, conducted on Oct. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(17) Mason-Dixon Research & Polling – Telephone interviews with 625 likely voters in Iowa, conducted on Oct. 22 and Oct. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(16) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Iowa, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(15) Big Ten Universities – Telephone interviews with 586 likely voters in Iowa, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(14) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 692 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Oct. 8 and Oct. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(13) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Iowa, conducted on Sept. 29 and Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(12) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Sept. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(11) Marist College Institute for Public Opinion – Telephone interviews with 467 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 18 to Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(10) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 15 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(9) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 702 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Sept. 17 and Sept. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(8) University of Wisconsin-Madison – Telephone interviews with 643 registered Iowa voters, conducted from Sept 14 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Selzer & Co. – Telephone interviews with 616 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 8 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(6) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 828 registered Iowa voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(5) University of Iowa – Telephone interviews with 617 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Aug. 4 to Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(4) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Aug. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(3) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Jul. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(2) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 528 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Jun. 13 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Iowa voters, conducted on Jun. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
