(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Republican John McCain holds a slight edge over Democrat Barack Obama in the Tar Heel State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 49.3 per cent of voters in North Carolina would support the Arizona senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 48.8 per cent would back the Illinois senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Republican John McCain holds a slight edge over Democrat Barack Obama in the Tar Heel State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 49.3 per cent of voters in North Carolina would support the Arizona senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 48.8 per cent would back the Illinois senator.
McCain is ahead in three of the surveys, while Obama leads in one.
In 2004, Republican George W. Bush won the Tar Heel State’s 15 electoral votes, with 56 per cent of all cast ballots. No Democrat has carried North Carolina since Jimmy Carter in 1976.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
North Carolina – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 49.3% | 48.8% | 1.9% | |
| (58) Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 49% | 1% | Nov. 2 |
| (57) Public Policy Polling | 49% | 50% | 1% | Oct. 31-Nov. 2 |
| (56) SurveyUSA | 49% | 48% | 3% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (55) Zogby International | 49% | 48% | 3% | Oct. 30-Nov. 2 |
| (54) Mason-Dixon | 49% | 46% | 5% | Oct. 29-30 |
| (53) Research 2000 | 45% | 47% | 8% | Oct. 28-30 |
| (52) Insider Advantage | 48% | 48% | 4% | Oct. 27-29 |
| (51) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 46% | 47% | 7% | Oct. 27-29 |
| (50) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 50% | 2% | Oct. 29 |
| (49) Opinion Research Corp. | 46% | 52% | 2% | Oct. 23-28 |
| (48) FD / National Journal | 43% | 47% | 10% | Oct. 23-27 |
| (47) Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 48% | 3% | Oct. 26 |
| (46) Public Policy Polling | 48% | 49% | 3% | Oct. 25-26 |
|
(45) Zogby International / Reuters |
46% | 50% | 4% | Oct. 23-26 |
| (44) GfK Roper | 46% | 50% | 4% | Oct. 23-26 |
| (43) Mason-Dixon | 48% | 49% | 3% | Oct. 22-24 |
| (42) Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 48% | 2% | Oct. 23 |
| (41) Marshall Marketing and Comm. | 46% | 48% | 6% | Oct. 20-21 |
| (40) Opinion Research Corp. | 47% | 51% | 2% | Oct. 19-21 |
| (39) SurveyUSA | 47% | 47% | 6% | Oct. 18-20 |
| (38) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 45% | 48% | 7% | Oct. 18-20 |
| (37) Insider Advantage | 48% | 49% | 3% | Oct. 19 |
| (36) Withrop Univ. / ETV | 44% | 45% | 11% | Sept. 28-Oct. 19 |
| (35) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 51% | 1% | Oct. 19 |
| (34) Public Policy Polling | 44% | 51% | 5% | Oct. 18-19 |
| (33) Research 200 | 44% | 46% | 10% | Oct. 14-15 |
| (32) Insider Advantage | 46% | 48% | 5% | Oct. 13 |
| (31) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 48% | 4% | Oct. 12 |
| (30) Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 49% | 3% | Oct. 8 |
| (29) WSOC-TV | 48% | 46% | 6% | Oct. 6-7 |
| (28) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 43% | 48% | 9% | Oct. 6-8 |
| (27) SurveyUSA | 49% | 46% | 5% | Oct. 5-6 |
| (26) Opinion Research Corp. | 49% | 49% | 2% | Oct. 3-6 |
| (25) Public Policy Polling | 44% | 50% | 6% | Oct. 4-5 |
| (24) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 50% | 3% | Sept. 30 |
| (23) American Research Group | 49% | 46% | 5% | Sept. 27-29 |
| (22) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 27-28 |
| (21) Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 49% | 4% | Sept. 23 |
| (20) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 45% | 45% | 10% | Sept. 17-20 |
| (19) Public Policy Polling | 46% | 46% | 8% | Sept. 17-19 |
| (18) Opinion Research Corp. | 48% | 47% | 5% | Sept. 13-14 |
| (17) Zogby Interactive | 47% | 48% | 5% | Sept. 9-12 |
| (16) Research 2000 | 55% | 38% | 7% | Sept. 8-10 |
| (15) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 47% | 44% | 9% | Sept. 6-10 |
| (14) Public Policy Polling | 48% | 44% | 8% | Sept. 9 |
| (13) SurveyUSA | 58% | 38% | 4% | Sept. 6-8 |
| (12) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 42% | 13% | Aug. 20-23 |
| (11) Insider Advantage | 45% | 43% | 12% | Aug. 19 |
| (10) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 46% | 40% | 14% | Aug. 14-17 |
| (9) Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 44% | 6% | Aug. 13 |
| (8) SurveyUSA | 49% | 45% | 6% | Aug. 9-11 |
| (7) Research 2000 | 47% | 43% | 10% | Jul. 28-30 |
| (6) Tel Opinion / Civitas | 43% | 40% | 17% | Jul. 14-16 |
| (5) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 42% | 13% | Jul. 15 |
| (4) SurveyUSA | 50% | 45% | 5% | Jul. 12-14 |
| (3) Public Policy Polling | 45% | 41% | 14% | Jun. 25-29 |
|
(2) Tel Opinion / Civitas |
45% | 41% | 14% | Jun. 11-13 |
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports |
45% |
43% |
12% |
Jun. 10 |
(58) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(57) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 2,100 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 2.1 per cent.
(56) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 682 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(55) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 600 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(54) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. – Telephone interviews with 625 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 29 and Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(53) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(52) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 641 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(51) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(50) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(49) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 667 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(48) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 402 registered North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(47) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(46) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,038 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 25 and Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(45) Zogby International / Reuters – Telephone interviews with 601 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(44) GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media – Telephone interviews with 601 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(43) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research – Telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(42) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Oct. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(41) Marshall Marketing and Communications – Telephone interviews with 500 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 20 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
(40) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 644 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(39) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 627 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 18 to Oct. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(38) Civitas / TelOpinion – Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(37) Politico / Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 698 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 18 to Oct. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(36) Winthrop / ETV – Telephone interviews with 744 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(35) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(34) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,200 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 18 and Oct. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(33) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 14 and Oct. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(32) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 474 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(31) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 1000 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Oct. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(30) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(29) WSOC-TV – Telephone interviews 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 6 and Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(28) Civitas / TelOpinion – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Oct. 6 to Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(27) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 617 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 5 to Oct. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(26) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 666 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(25) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,202 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Oct. 4 and Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(24) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(23) American Research Group – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Sept. 27 to Sept. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(22) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,041 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 27 and Sept. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(21) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely North Carolina voters, conducted on Sept. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(20) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute – Telephone interviews with 500 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Sept. 17 to Sept. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(19) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,060 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Sept. 17 to Sept. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(18) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 910 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 13 and Sept. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(17) Zogby Interactive – Online interviews with 635 likely North Carolina voters, conducted from Sept. 9 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(16) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 8 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(15) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 6 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(14) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 626 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Sept. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(13) Survey USA – Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in North Carolina conducted from Sept. 6 to Sept. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(12) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 907 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 20 to 23, 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
(11) Insider Advantage – Telephone interviews with 614 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(10) Tel Opinion / Civitas – Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Aug. 14 to Aug. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(9) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(8) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 655 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Aug. 9 to Aug. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 28 to Jul. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(6) Tel Opinion / Civitas – Telephone interviews with 800 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 14 to Jul. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Jul. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(4) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 676 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jul. 12 to Jul. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(3) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,048 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jun. 26 to Jun. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(2) Tel Opinion Research / Civitas Institute – Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in North Carolina, conducted from Jun. 11 to Jun. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Carolina, conducted on Jun. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
