(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a strong lead over Republican John McCain in the Empire State, according to a poll by Marist College. 65 per cent of respondents in New York would support the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 29 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a strong lead over Republican John McCain in the Empire State, according to a poll by Marist College. 65 per cent of respondents in New York would support the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 29 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
In a poll by Rasmussen Reports, Obama holds a 20-point lead over McCain.
In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried New York’s 31 electoral votes, with 58 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Empire State since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
New York – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| (15) Marist College | 29% | 65% | 6% | Oct. 21-22 |
| (14) Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 57% | 6% | Oct. 14 |
| (13) SurveyUSA | 40% | 55% | 5% | Oct. 11-12 |
| (12) Siena Research Institute | 36% | 58% | 6% | Sept. 28-30 |
| (11) SurveyUSA | 38% | 57% | 5% | Sept. 23-24 |
| (10) Rasmussen Reports | 42% | 55% | 3% | Sept. 15 |
| (9) Siena Research Institute | 41% | 46% | 13% | Sept. 8-10 |
| (8) Siena Research Institute | 39% | 47% | 14% | Aug. 11-14 |
| (7) Rasmussen Reports | 36% | 55% | 9% | Aug. 4 |
| (6) Quinnipiac University | 36% | 57% | 7% | Jul. 31-Aug. 4 |
| (5) Siena Research Institute | 26% | 44% | 25% | Jul. 17-29 |
| (4) SurveyUSA |
37% |
57% | 6% | Jun. 25-27 |
| (3) New York Times | 32% | 51% | 17% | Jun. 6-11 |
|
(2) Quinnipiac University |
36% | 50% | 15% | Jun. 9 |
|
(1) SurveyUSA |
38% |
48% |
14% |
May 16-18 |
(15) Marist College – Telephone interviews with 571 likely New York voters, conducted on Oct. 20 and Oct. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(14) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New York, conducted on Oct. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(13) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 551 likely New York voters, conducted on Oct. 11 and Oct. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(12) Siena Research Institute – Telephone interviews with 631 registered New York voters, conducted from Sept. 28 to Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(11) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 668 likely New York voters, conducted on Sept. 23 and Sept. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(9) Siena Research Institute – Telephone interviews with 626 likely voters in New York, conducted from Sept. 8 to Sept. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(8) Siena Research Institute – Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in New York, conducted from Aug. 11 to Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in New York, conducted on Aug. 4, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(6) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,353 likely voters in New York, conducted from Jul. 31 to Aug. 4, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(5) Siena Research Institute – Telephone interviews with 671 likely voters in New York, conducted from Jul. 17 to Jul. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(4) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 531 likely voters in New York, conducted from Jun. 25 to Jun. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(3) New York Times – Telephone interviews with 931 registered voters in New York, conducted on Jun. 6-11, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(2) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,388 likely voters in New York, conducted on Jun. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews to 600 registered New York voters, conducted from May 16 to May 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
