(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the North Star State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 53.0 per cent of voters in Minnesota would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 41.8 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the North Star State, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls. 53.0 per cent of voters in Minnesota would support the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential election, while 41.8 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Obama surpasses the 50 per cent mark in three of the surveys.
In 2004, Democrat John Kerry carried Minnesota’s 10 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of all cast ballots. The last Republican to win the North Star State in a presidential election was Richard Nixon in 1972.
U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
Minnesota – 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)
|
McCain (R) |
Obama (D) |
Other / Not sure |
Date |
|
| ARGM Poll Average | 41.8% | 53.0% | 5.2% | |
| (36) SurveyUSA | 46% | 49% | 5% | Oct. 30-Nov. 1 |
| (35) Star Tribune | 42% | 53% | 5% | Oct. 29-31 |
| (34) Public Policy Polling | 41% | 57% | 2% | Oct. 28-30 |
| (33) Research 2000 | 38% | 53% | 9% | Oct. 27-29 |
| (32) Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 55% | 2% | Oct. 28 |
| (31) Mason-Dixon | 40% | 48% | 12% | Oct. 27-28 |
| (30) MPR / HI | 37% | 56% | 7% | Oct. 24-28 |
| (29) Rasmussen Reports | 41% | 56% | 3% | Oct. 22 |
| (28) Big Ten Universities | 38% | 57% | 5% | Oct. 19-22 |
| (27) St. Cloud State Univ. | 37% | 42% | 21% | Oct. 14-22 |
| (26) FD / National Journal | 40% | 50% | 10% | Oct. 16-20 |
| (25) SurveyUSA | 44% | 50% | 6% | Oct. 16-18 |
| (24) Star Tribune | 41% | 52% | 7% | Oct. 16-17 |
| (23) Quinnipiac University | 40% | 51% | 9% | Oct. 8-12 |
| (22) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 52% | 3% | Oct. 7 |
| (21) American Research Group | 46% | 47% | 7% | Oct. 4-7 |
| (20) Univ. of Minnesota | 40% | 54% | 6% | Oct. 3-5 |
| (19) PSRAI / Star Tribune | 37% | 55% | 8% | Sept. 30-Oct. 2 |
| (18) SurveyUSA | 47% | 46% | 7% | Sept. 30-Oct. 1 |
| (17) Opinion Research Corp. | 43% | 54% | 3% | Sept. 28-30 |
| (16) Quinnipiac University | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 14-21 |
| (15) Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 52% | 4% | Sept. 18 |
| (14) University of Wisc-Mad | 45% | 47% | 8% | Sept. 14-17 |
| (13) PSRAI / Star Tribune | 45% | 45% | 10% | Sept. 10-12 |
| (12) SurveyUSA | 47% | 49% | 10% | Sept. 10-12 |
| (11) Opinion Research Corp. | 41% | 53% | 6% | Aug. 31-Sept. 2 |
| (10) MPR / HI | 38% | 48% | 14% | Aug. 7-17 |
| (9) SurveyUSA | 45% | 47% | 8% | Aug. 13-14 |
| (8) Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 49% | 6% | Aug. 13 |
| (7) Rasmussen Reports | 37% | 49% | 14% | Jul. 22 |
| (6) Quinnipiac University | 44% | 46% | 10% | Jul. 14-44 |
| (5) Rasmussen Reports | 34% | 52% | 14% | Jul. 10 |
| (4) Quinnipiac University | 37% | 54% | 9% | Jun. 17-24 |
| (3) SurveyUSA | 46% | 47% | 7% | Jun. 13-16 |
| (2) Rasmussen Reports | 39% | 52% | 9% | Jun. 11 |
|
(1) SurveyUSA |
42% |
47% |
12% |
May 16-18 |
(36) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 669 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(35) Star Tribune – Telephone interviews with 933 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Oct. 29 to Oct. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
(34) Public Policy Polling – Telephone interviews with 1,050 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 28 to Oct. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(33) Research 2000 – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(32) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted on Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(31) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research – Telephone interviews with 625 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(30) Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute – Telephone interviews 451 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 24 to Oct. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.6 per cent.
(29) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted on Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent..
(28) Big Ten Universities – Telephone interviews with 583 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
(27) St. Cloud State University – Telephone interviews (landline and cell phone) with 509 adults in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 14 to Oct. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.6 per cent.
(26) FD / National Journal – Telephone interviews with 402 registered voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 20, 2008. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.
(25) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 655 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 16 to Oct. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(24) Star Tribune – Telephone interviews with 1,049 likely Minnesota voters, conducted on Oct. 16 and Oct. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(23) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,019 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 8 to Oct. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(22) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely Minnesota voters, conducted on Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(21) American Research Group – Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(20) University of Minnesota – Telephone interviews with 418 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2008. Margin of error is 4.8 per cent.
(19) Princeton Survey Research Associates International / Minnesota Star Tribune – Telephone interviews with 1,084 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(18) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 725 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 1, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(17) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 849 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Sept. 28 to Sept. 30, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(16) Quinnipiac University – Telephone interviews with 1,301 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.
(15) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted on Sept. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(14) University of Wisconsin-Madison – Telephone interviews with 1,610 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 14 to Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(13) Princeton Survey Research Associates International / Minnesota Star Tribune – Telephone interviews with 1,106 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(12) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 734 registered voters in Minnesota conducted from Sept. 10 to Sept. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(11) Opinion Research Corporation – Telephone interviews with 742 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
(10) Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute – Telephone interviews to 763 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Aug. 7 to Aug. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
(9) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews to 682 likely Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 3.8 per cent.
(8) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 700 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Aug. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(7) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(6) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,261 likely voters in Minnesota, conducted from Jul. 14 to Jul. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jul. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(4) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute – Telephone interviews with 1,572 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.
(3) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews with 543 likely Minnesota voters, conducted from Jun. 13 to Jun. 16, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports – Telephone interviews with 500 registered Minnesota voters, conducted on Jun. 11, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA – Telephone interviews to 600 registered Minnesota voters, conducted from May 16 to May 18, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
