(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Support for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner remains high in Argentina ahead of a presidential election, according to a poll by Analogías. 44.2 per cent of respondents would back the first lady in this weekend’s ballot.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Support for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner remains high in Argentina ahead of a presidential election, according to a poll by Analogías. 44.2 per cent of respondents would back the first lady in this weekend’s ballot.
Elisa Carrió of the Alliance Affirmation for an Egalitarian Republic (ARI) is second with 15.9 per cent—up two points in two weeks—followed by former economy minister Roberto Lavagna of An Advanced Nation (UNA) with 10.6 per cent, San Luis governor Alberto Rodríguez Saá of the Justicialist Front, Union and Liberty (FREJULI) with 4.9 per cent, and Ricardo López Murphy of Recreate (Recrear) with 2.8 per cent.
Néstor Kirchner finished second to former president Carlos Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the Front for Victory (FV). Kirchner was eligible for re-election, but decided to back his wife’s bid instead.
Argentina has held five presidential elections since the demise of an eight-year military dictatorship in 1982. In the event no candidate garners more than 45 per cent of the vote—or reaches a percentage between 40 and 45 per cent with a 10 per cent lead over the closest competitor—a run-off between the two leading candidates must take place.
Yesterday, Lavagna said he would remain "active in political life" regardless of the outcome of the presidential election, adding, "My alliance is very different from previous ones, and more akin to the Chilean style."
In Chile, the centre-left Agreement of Parties for Democracy (CPD)—which includes the Socialist Party (PS), the Christian-Democratic Party of Chile (PCD), the Party for Democracy (PD) and the Radical Social-Democratic Party (PRSD)—has not lost a single presidential election since the return of democracy after the dictatorship of Augusto Pinochet in March 1990.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the next presidential election?
|
Mid-Oct. 2007 |
Early Oct. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
|
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner |
44.2% |
44.4% |
46.2% |
|
Elisa Carrió |
15.9% |
13.9% |
12.0% |
|
Roberto Lavagna |
10.6% |
10.6% |
11.1% |
|
Alberto Rodríguez Saá |
4.9% |
n.a. |
n.a |
|
Ricardo López Murphy |
2.8% |
2.9% |
4.1% |
Source: Analogías
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 4,000 Argentine adults, conducted in mid-October 2007. No margin of error was provided.
