(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Support for Argentina’s first lady has slightly dropped this month but she remains the favourite to win this weekend’s presidential ballot, according to a poll by OPSM. 42.5 per cent of respondents would vote for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in the election, down 2.1 points since early October.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Support for Argentina’s first lady has slightly dropped this month but she remains the favourite to win this weekend’s presidential ballot, according to a poll by OPSM. 42.5 per cent of respondents would vote for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in the election, down 2.1 points since early October.
Elisa Carrió of the Alliance Affirmation for an Egalitarian Republic (ARI) is second with 16.1 per cent, followed by former economy minister Roberto Lavagna of An Advanced Nation (UNA) with 11.6 per cent, San Luis governor Alberto Rodríguez Saá of the Justicialist Front, Union and Liberty (FREJULI) with 5.8 per cent, and Ricardo López Murphy of Recreate (Recrear) with 1.6 per cent.
Néstor Kirchner finished second to former president Carlos Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the Front for Victory (FV). Kirchner was eligible for re-election, but decided to back his wife’s bid instead
Argentina has held five presidential elections since the demise of an eight-year military dictatorship in 1982. In the event no candidate garners more than 45 per cent of the vote—or reaches a percentage between 40 and 45 per cent with a 10 per cent lead over the closest competitor—a run-off between the two leading candidates must take place.
On Oct. 19, Lavagna criticized the Kirchner administration’s record on fighting crime, saying policy-making has been affected by an unwillingness to accept existing data on crime rates. Lavagna declared: "The government denies everything that contradicts their ideal image of the country. (…) It creates an illusory image and that’s why it can’t solve the problems.’’
The presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 28.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the next presidential election?
|
Mid-Oct. 2007 |
Early Oct. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
|
|
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner |
42.5% |
44.6% |
46.1% |
|
Elisa Carrió |
16.1% |
15.4% |
14.4% |
|
Roberto Lavagna |
11.6% |
9.3% |
13.0% |
|
Alberto Rodríguez Saá |
5.8% |
6.5% |
2.4% |
|
Ricardo López Murphy |
1.6% |
2.6% |
4.8% |
Source: Opinión Pública, Servicios y Mercados (OPSM)
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,100 Argentine adults, conducted in mid-October 2007. No margin of error was provided.
