(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner’s popularity has grown since the beginning of this year, according to a poll by Ipsos Mora y Araujo published in El Clarn. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the candidate of the Front for Victory (FV) in this year’s presidential election, up eight points since January.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner’s popularity has grown since the beginning of this year, according to a poll by Ipsos Mora y Araujo published in El Clarn. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the candidate of the Front for Victory (FV) in this year’s presidential election, up eight points since January.
Former economy minister Roberto Lavagna is a distant second with 10 per cent, followed by Elisa Carri³ of the Alliance Affirmation for an Egalitarian Republic (ARI) with nine per cent, Ricardo L³pez Murphy of Recreate (Recrear) with four per cent, and former president Carlos Menem also with four per cent.
Néstor Kirchner finished second to Menem in the election held in April 2003. Menem withdrew from the scheduled run-off after voting intention polls suggested an overwhelming victory for Kirchner, candidate of the FV.
Argentina has held five presidential elections since the demise of an eight-year military dictatorship in 1982. In the event no candidate garners more than 45 per cent of the vote—or reaches a percentage between 40 and 45 per cent with a 10 per cent lead over the closest competitor—a run-off between the two leading candidates must take place.
On Jul. 2, Fern¡ndez de Kirchner announced she would run to succeed her husband later this year. She will officially launch her candidacy at a rally in La Plata on Jul. 19.
On Jul. 3, Argentinean senator Gerardo Morales—the vice-presidential contender on Lavagna’s ticket—said Fern¡ndez de Kirchner’s candidacy is beneficial, adding, “It is clear Cristina is the weaker candidate.”
The next presidential election in Argentina is scheduled for Oct. 28.
Polling Data
Who would you vote for in the next presidential election?
Jun. 2007 | Jan. 2007 | |
Cristina Fern¡ndez de Kirchner | 45% | 37% |
Roberto Lavagna | 10% | 6% |
Elisa Carri³ | 9% | 6% |
Ricardo L³pez Murphy | 4% | – |
Carlos Menem | 4% | 3% |
Other | 4% | 18% |
Not sure / No reply | 15% | 21% |
Source: Ipsos Mora y Araujo / El Clarn
Methodology: Interviews to 1,200 Argentine adults, conducted from Jun. 8 to Jun. 20, 2007. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
