(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Felipe Calder³n of the governing National Action Party (PAN) is holding on to the top spot in Mexico’s presidential race, according to a poll by Reforma. 39 per cent of respondents would vote for the former energy secretary in this year’s election.
(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Felipe Calder³n of the governing National Action Party (PAN) is holding on to the top spot in Mexico’s presidential race, according to a poll by Reforma. 39 per cent of respondents would vote for the former energy secretary in this year’s election.
Former Mexico City mayor Andrés Manuel L³pez Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) is second with 35 per cent, followed by former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with 22 per cent, Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) with 2.3 per cent, and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) with 1.2 per cent.
Support for Calder³n among likely voters fell by one point since late April, while backing for L³pez Obrador increased by two points. L³pez Obrador did not take part in the Apr. 25 presidential debate. The PRD nominee will attend a second and final meeting of candidates on Jun. 6.
The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
On May 25, PRI senator and former interior secretary Manuel Bartlett called on PRI supporters to vote for L³pez Obrador, saying, “With our candidate in third place, people shouldn’t waste their vote and should vote against the conservative right.”
In the race for the Chamber of Deputies, the PAN is first with 39 per cent, followed by the leftist Alliance for the Common Good with 29 per cent, and the Alliance for Mexico—featuring the PRI and the Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM)—with 27 per cent.
The Mexican presidential and legislative election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Polling Data
If the presidential election took place today, who would you vote for?
(Likely Voters)
May 21 | Apr. 30 | Apr. 22 | |
Felipe Calder³n (PAN) | 39% | 40% | 38% |
Andrés Manuel L³pez Obrador (PRD) | 35% | 33% | 35% |
Roberto Madrazo (PRI) | 22% | 22% | 23% |
Patricia Mercado (PASC) | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
Roberto Campa (PNA) | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
If the election to the federal Chamber of Deputies took place today, what party would you vote for?
May 21 | Apr. 30 | Apr. 22 | |
National Action Party (PAN) | 39% | 39% | 40% |
Alliance for the Common Good | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Alliance for Mexico | 27% | 26% | 27% |
Social-Democratic and | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
New Alliance Party (PNA) | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
Source: Reforma
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 2,099 likely Mexican voters, conducted from May 19 to May 21 2006. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.
